inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 100 Excitement3.0 [1174] MVPJosh Smith (ATL): +13.4%
Atlanta Hawks 125 Comeback1.1 [916] LVPChris Andersen (DEN): -5.0%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nene0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.000.00675%0.062-0.024100%0.02
Carmelo Anthony0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.060.000.062150%0.0100.001883%0.01
Malik Allen0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Johan Petro0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Renaldo Balkman-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.001100%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Joey Graham-0.000,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.00440%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Chauncey Billups-0.000,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,00.05-0.000.052253%0.042-0.05786%0.02
Arron Afflalo-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.000.02845%-0.0200.00475%-0.00
Anthony Carter-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Ty Lawson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.00756%0.023-0.044100%-0.00
Chris Andersen-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.01833%-0.031-0.0220%-0.03

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Smith0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.170.000.031079%0.131-0.00875%-0.00
Jamal Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.110.010.001566%0.132-0.028100%0.02
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.090.000.01678%0.071-0.006100%0.02
Joe Johnson0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.001955%0.082-0.042100%0.01
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.01367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Maurice Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.060.000.031060%0.0300.0000%0.00
Al Horford0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.06-0.000.06579%0.031-0.02475%0.00
Mike Bibby0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.070.000.07779%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Jason Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Randolph Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jeff Teague0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.09-0.00-0.04920%-0.0500.002100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.11.734.314.834.52.028.0146.3
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +34.9%
ATL +4.6%
ATL +3.2%
ATL +4.9%
ATL +2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENATLNBADENATLNBA
this game14.615.115.3103.1128.9106.0
season14.416.0110.3109.4
opponent15.815.5106.0106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.014.115.413.014.6
ATL13.315.914.017.015.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Malik Allen550.00-0.500.50-0.062-272910.614.9-4.2615.815.00.79
Johan Petro770.00-0.500.500.09-3-221911.714.9-3.1513.115.2-2.06
Ty Lawson5555-0.15-0.350.210.06-7-181113.316.5-3.2015.714.11.60
Chris Andersen5052-0.18-0.320.14-0.12-2-232113.116.3-3.1415.714.31.42
Anthony Carter1515-0.19-0.310.130.02-7-181115.514.50.9813.815.3-1.48
Arron Afflalo6665-0.24-0.260.010.14-13-12-113.916.2-2.3315.514.11.38
Renaldo Balkman2122-0.27-0.23-0.040.11-13-12-117.713.83.8613.515.5-2.01
Joey Graham3536-0.31-0.19-0.120.22-18-7-1116.113.82.3514.115.6-1.45
Nene7774-0.33-0.17-0.160.32-22-3-1915.411.73.6415.015.2-0.22
Chauncey Billups7575-0.35-0.15-0.210.20-19-6-1315.113.21.8315.314.21.07
Carmelo Anthony7979-0.48-0.02-0.460.19-23-2-2114.913.31.6714.816.2-1.44

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marvin Williams45450.380.120.26-0.001312114.915.2-0.3416.413.23.20
Al Horford69690.370.130.23-0.372502515.314.50.8315.313.02.35
Josh Smith70720.360.140.23-0.372502514.616.2-1.5715.113.31.83
Joe Johnson67670.330.170.17-0.312231915.314.60.7015.413.02.32
Mike Bibby38400.280.220.05-0.372231915.115.00.0516.013.72.32
Jamal Crawford78770.260.240.03-0.151411315.513.32.1613.817.9-4.11
Jeff Teague36330.190.31-0.110.05520-1514.615.3-0.6612.915.5-2.67
Maurice Evans37370.180.32-0.140.06421-1714.215.6-1.3913.615.3-1.65
Zaza Pachulia20210.130.37-0.230.16-126-2714.015.3-1.2613.415.0-1.61
Joe Smith12120.010.49-0.480.10-328-3117.814.73.1711.915.0-3.11
Jason Collins550.000.50-0.500.06-227-2915.815.00.7910.614.9-4.26
Randolph Morris870.000.50-0.50-0.03124-2315.515.00.4911.714.9-3.15


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 86, MIN 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,196.9%
NJN 104, MIL 1150.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
MIA 76, DAL 1120.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%