NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	86		Excitement	3.2 [1171]		MVP	Sam Cassell (MIN): +12.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Comeback	1.0 [1306]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): -17.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Barry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	3	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.01
David Wesley	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	9	33%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	13	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Bob Sura	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	6	44%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Yao Ming	-0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	9	62%	-0.01	3	-0.06	16	69%	-0.02
Tracy McGrady	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.26	-0.01	-0.08	22	28%	-0.14	2	-0.04	10	70%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	-0.00	-0.05	9	90%	0.15	4	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.00	-0.03	19	60%	0.09	1	-0.00	12	92%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	13	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	7	29%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	11	42%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	3.4	36.5	18.4	35.3	3.4	33.3	155.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +34.7%

MIN +6.5%

MIN +4.2%

MIN +2.7%

MIN +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIN	NBA	HOU	MIN	NBA
this game	15.2	18.5	15.5	100.0	110.6	104.0
season	16.0	15.8		104.2	106.2
opponent	15.9	15.8		104.6	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.8	16.9	15.6	13.5	15.2
MIN	15.2	17.4	18.8	23.2	18.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	30	29	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.32	11	-19	30	13.4	16.2	-2.88	20.0	17.7	2.29
Mike James	46	45	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.51	14	-22	36	14.4	16.2	-1.79	20.4	16.2	4.17
Scott Padgett	23	21	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-7	6	15.8	15.0	0.79	18.4	18.5	-0.04
Ryan Bowen	24	24	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.29	5	-13	18	14.1	15.7	-1.55	21.9	17.1	4.76
Jon Barry	46	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.36	6	-14	20	15.2	15.3	-0.10	20.2	16.3	3.92
Clar. Weatherspoon	30	30	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.13	-15	7	-22	18.0	13.8	4.23	16.2	19.7	-3.54
David Wesley	51	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.13	-16	8	-24	16.4	13.5	2.87	16.1	21.8	-5.68
Yao Ming	56	54	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	5	-18	15.7	14.5	1.19	17.9	19.5	-1.66
Bob Sura	55	55	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.06	-16	8	-24	14.7	16.2	-1.53	17.5	20.1	-2.59
Tracy McGrady	69	70	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.09	-15	7	-22	14.9	16.7	-1.82	18.1	20.3	-2.20

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Latrell Sprewell	64	63	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.12	10	-2	12	17.9	20.2	-2.36	14.9	16.2	-1.33
Kevin Garnett	66	68	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.13	9	-1	10	18.2	19.5	-1.31	15.2	15.3	-0.11
Trenton Hassell	47	47	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.15	7	1	6	19.1	17.7	1.45	16.0	14.4	1.57
Wally Szczerbiak	60	60	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.34	-2	10	-12	18.4	18.6	-0.26	13.9	18.4	-4.50
Troy Hudson	41	42	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.15	14	-6	20	16.4	20.4	-4.04	16.8	13.8	3.01
Sam Cassell	45	45	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.37	-4	12	-16	20.1	16.6	3.42	13.5	17.2	-3.73
Eddie Griffin	29	29	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	4	0	19.1	18.1	1.03	16.2	14.7	1.50
Fred Hoiberg	39	39	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.31	-5	13	-18	19.4	17.6	1.81	15.1	15.4	-0.35
John Thomas	14	15	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	3	2	20.3	18.1	2.19	17.9	14.7	3.26
Michael Olowokandi	20	22	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	6	-4	16.5	19.1	-2.56	16.4	14.8	1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 82, TOR 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
TOR 102, GSW 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,0.99,0.96,1	97.0%
DEN 100, ATL 125	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%