NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	86		Excitement	4.2 [950]		MVP	Dahntay Jones (IND): +5.8%
Indiana Pacers	102		Comeback	1.2 [693]		LVP	Caron Butler (WAS): -8.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	14	53%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Gilbert Arenas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	10	54%	0.05	3	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Nick Young	0.00	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	9	43%	0.01	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.02
Andray Blatche	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	5	8%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Mike James	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	8	30%	-0.07	1	-0.01	4	50%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	2	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Caron Butler	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	21	47%	-0.01	3	-0.07	9	78%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	11	58%	0.10	2	-0.04	9	67%	-0.00
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	7	54%	0.05	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.01
Danny Granger	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	21	47%	0.08	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	9	60%	0.05	4	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	7	44%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.04	15	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.07	1	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.6	29.4	15.5	25.4	2.5	32.2	132.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +17.3%

IND +10.6%

IND +0.8%

IND +19.3%

IND +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	IND	NBA	WAS	IND	NBA
this game	15.1	14.1	15.3	87.8	103.0	106.0
season	15.7	14.2		102.6	102.2
opponent	15.1	15.3		105.3	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.8	15.6	17.0	14.4	15.1
IND	13.9	12.7	13.8	16.2	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Davis	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-22	28	12.7	15.4	-2.73	15.9	13.9	1.97
Mike James	43	44	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.32	9	-25	34	15.0	15.2	-0.21	15.0	13.4	1.62
Andray Blatche	32	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-12	8	15.5	15.0	0.58	13.8	14.3	-0.47
Nick Young	32	31	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.10	0	-16	16	13.6	15.9	-2.30	14.8	13.8	1.03
Dominic McGuire	14	15	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.10	-2	-14	12	16.5	14.9	1.58	15.3	13.9	1.37
Brendan Haywood	72	72	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	-11	6	15.0	15.7	-0.70	14.8	12.1	2.74
JaVale McGee	15	14	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-15	14	14.0	15.3	-1.35	14.2	14.1	0.13
Fabricio Oberto	25	26	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.21	-17	1	-18	15.7	15.0	0.72	10.4	15.4	-4.99
DeShawn Stevenson	32	31	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.00	-10	-6	-4	17.2	14.2	2.99	12.9	14.7	-1.79
Randy Foye	69	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-6	-4	15.1	15.2	-0.14	14.3	13.4	0.90
Caron Butler	76	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.23	-22	6	-28	14.9	15.9	-0.93	13.9	14.6	-0.69
Gilbert Arenas	71	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.23	-24	8	-32	15.4	14.5	0.86	13.9	14.6	-0.62

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dahntay Jones	85	83	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.02	19	-3	22	13.8	16.2	-2.46	15.1	15.3	-0.15
T.J. Ford	81	81	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.10	15	1	14	14.8	11.2	3.59	15.2	14.9	0.32
Danny Granger	72	75	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	5	6	14.5	13.1	1.41	14.9	15.8	-0.84
Solomon Jones	41	39	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.19	3	13	-10	14.2	14.0	0.16	15.5	14.9	0.53
Brandon Rush	33	34	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.14	14	2	12	12.4	15.0	-2.61	14.4	15.5	-1.12
Roy Hibbert	58	59	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.15	13	3	10	14.0	14.2	-0.16	14.9	15.5	-0.53
A.J. Price	23	21	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.16	1	15	-14	13.8	14.2	-0.41	16.8	14.7	2.12
Earl Watson	66	64	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.10	3	13	-10	14.5	13.4	1.06	14.9	15.5	-0.59
Tyler Hansbrough	29	28	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	11	-6	13.3	14.4	-1.07	16.5	14.6	1.85
Josh McRoberts	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	20	-24	15.9	14.0	1.89	11.5	15.4	-3.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.77,0.8,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 90, IND 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,1	96.3%
CHA 90, DET 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.9%
MEM 82, HOU 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.9%