NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	90		Excitement	4.1 [1033]		MVP	Tobias Harris (DET): +19.0%
Detroit Pistons	102		Comeback	1.1 [932]		LVP	Stanley Johnson (DET): -13.3%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julyan Stone	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dwayne Bacon	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	10	54%	0.05	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.01
Treveon Graham	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	5	67%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.08	13	62%	0.04	4	-0.09	13	85%	0.01
Frank Kaminsky	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	9	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	9	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Malik Monk	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.15	-0.01	-0.04	9	17%	-0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.19	0.02	0.02	18	73%	0.20	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.10	0.08	11	70%	0.14	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.06
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.01	10	71%	0.12	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Henry Ellenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	10	62%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.04	10	57%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	9	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Moreland	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	31%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.13	0.00	-0.08	9	22%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.18	-0.01	-0.06	13	7%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	0.8	24.7	14.8	23.7	1.7	29.6	121.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +15.5%

DET +10.3%

DET +1.0%

DET +22.8%

DET +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	DET	NBA	CHA	DET	NBA
this game	14.2	14.8	14.7	90.0	103.0	107.5
season	14.6	14.9		108.7	106.4
opponent	14.7	14.5		106.3	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.6	14.1	14.4	12.5	14.2
DET	13.2	13.1	15.6	17.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Treveon Graham	35	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.22	7	-19	26	11.6	15.5	-3.88	17.6	13.4	4.20
Julyan Stone	27	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-11	10	14.0	14.2	-0.15	12.9	15.5	-2.61
Dwight Howard	64	63	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.16	-3	-9	6	14.0	14.5	-0.50	15.8	13.0	2.83
Frank Kaminsky	49	50	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.08	-6	-6	0	14.6	13.7	0.87	13.7	15.9	-2.22
Cody Zeller	51	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-8	4	13.9	14.4	-0.47	13.8	15.8	-2.06
Marvin Williams	53	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	-2	-8	14.6	13.6	0.97	15.9	13.5	2.47
Dwayne Bacon	44	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.14	-15	3	-18	15.6	13.0	2.57	12.3	16.8	-4.46
Malik Monk	48	46	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.10	-7	-5	-2	14.0	14.3	-0.25	13.9	15.6	-1.69
Jeremy Lamb	56	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	-2	-8	14.3	14.0	0.35	15.5	13.9	1.53
Kemba Walker	73	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.06	-11	-1	-10	14.2	14.0	0.15	15.5	12.9	2.61

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stanley Johnson	83	85	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.22	6	6	0	14.8	15.0	-0.24	14.0	15.0	-1.00
Tobias Harris	68	68	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	2	8	15.7	12.8	2.95	14.2	14.0	0.22
Avery Bradley	46	48	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.04	10	2	8	15.2	14.4	0.78	14.4	13.9	0.47
Reggie Jackson	54	56	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.04	10	2	8	15.1	14.4	0.65	14.0	14.3	-0.30
Andre Drummond	44	46	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.01	8	4	4	15.7	14.1	1.67	14.6	13.8	0.85
Jon Leuer	42	41	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	6	0	13.7	15.6	-1.84	14.4	14.0	0.41
Ish Smith	45	44	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	10	-8	14.4	15.1	-0.65	14.3	14.0	0.30
Henry Ellenson	36	36	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	8	-4	13.4	15.6	-2.26	13.9	14.3	-0.32
Langston Galloway	53	52	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	10	-8	14.4	15.2	-0.78	13.9	14.4	-0.47
Eric Moreland	24	24	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	10	-8	14.6	14.9	-0.23	13.5	14.4	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 85, MEM 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.75,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
CHA 77, ORL 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1	96.1%
DET 90, IND 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,1	96.0%