inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 92 Excitement7.8 [242] MVPOleksiy Pecherov (MIN): +20.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves 90 Comeback3.4 [756] LVPAl Jefferson (MIN): -23.4%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shelden Williams0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.030.002100%0.0900.002100%0.01
Kendrick Perkins0.090,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.040.02781%0.132-0.05250%-0.03
Ray Allen0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.010.06-0.011352%0.101-0.011100%0.01
Eddie House0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.030.07-0.01837%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Rajon Rondo0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.010.01-0.01-0.001653%0.092-0.092100%0.01
Brian Scalabrine0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marquis Daniels-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.04-0.03537%-0.0300.00633%-0.11
Kevin Garnett-0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08-0.01-0.060.001346%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Rasheed Wallace-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.02-0.08-0.00744%-0.031-0.06250%-0.02
Paul Pierce-0.100,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1-0.06-0.040.001236%-0.071-0.034100%0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Oleksiy Pecherov0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.210.210.140.070.001473%0.252-0.045100%0.04
Wayne Ellington00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brian Cardinal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jonny Flynn0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.030.01677%0.052-0.061100%0.01
Sasha Pavlovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.00367%0.062-0.0700%0.00
Ryan Gomes0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.03-0.030.05-0.070.01769%0.001-0.03250%-0.01
Ramon Sessions0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0,0.05,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.000.00367%0.083-0.1200%0.00
Damien Wilkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0010%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Corey Brewer0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.011639%-0.041-0.021100%0.01
Ryan Hollins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.00540%-0.002-0.0600%0.00
Al Jefferson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23-0.23-0.01-0.220.001749%-0.072-0.17367%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game509.62.829.016.830.31.034.2623.7
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN -1.4%
MIN -3.2%
BOS +7.8%
BOS +34.9%
BOS +12.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSMINNBABOSMINNBA
this game15.815.515.3100.097.8106.0
season15.514.7105.7100.1
opponent14.815.7109.8102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS15.017.013.818.115.8
MIN16.316.513.416.315.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rajon Rondo67670.480.020.460.4802-215.317.0-1.7315.316.1-0.82
Paul Pierce80790.420.080.340.48-24-616.113.52.6315.217.5-2.35
Ray Allen66650.410.090.320.47-24-615.117.5-2.3915.016.9-1.94
Kendrick Perkins63620.390.110.290.45-24-615.416.7-1.2715.116.3-1.15
Kevin Garnett69680.390.110.280.42-13-415.417.0-1.5715.515.7-0.25
Rasheed Wallace34360.150.35-0.200.0920216.415.41.0016.514.91.65
Brian Scalabrine780.150.35-0.20-0.088-61412.416.1-3.6318.515.23.26
Eddie House25260.110.39-0.28-0.035-3817.015.31.7315.515.5-0.03
Shelden Williams18170.070.43-0.370.0120217.515.42.1415.915.40.51
Marquis Daniels3132-0.070.57-0.65-0.0702-217.115.11.9816.714.91.88

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wayne Ellington880.03-0.530.55-0.001-3414.515.6-1.1216.615.70.92
Ramon Sessions2828-0.11-0.390.280.03-53-815.615.50.1217.115.21.96
Brian Cardinal2323-0.14-0.360.210.00-53-815.215.6-0.4617.015.41.57
Oleksiy Pecherov6665-0.16-0.340.18-0.5112-142615.715.10.5715.616.2-0.57
Ryan Gomes6867-0.20-0.300.10-0.376-81415.216.5-1.3215.416.8-1.45
Damien Wilkins109-0.21-0.290.080.03-86-1415.515.5-0.0218.115.52.58
Ryan Hollins2527-0.24-0.260.010.08-119-2015.715.40.2716.215.60.57
Sasha Pavlovic2425-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.07-86-1416.515.21.3216.815.41.45
Al Jefferson6969-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.443-5815.615.20.4615.417.0-1.57
Jonny Flynn6464-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.483-5815.515.6-0.1215.217.1-1.96
Corey Brewer7575-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.472-4615.415.9-0.5115.417.4-2.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.59,0.65,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.39,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.16,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 108, MIN 990.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.39,0.15,0.14,0.01,092.4%
NJN 79, BOS 740.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.09,0.04,092.4%
SAC 96, TOR 910.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.66,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.47,0.53,0.41,0.54,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.23,0.04,092.1%