NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Excitement	5.0 [802]		MVP	Andrea Bargnani (TOR): +14.8%
Toronto Raptors	101		Comeback	1.1 [384]		LVP	Jose Calderon (TOR): -9.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamario Moon	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	56%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
JJ Hickson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mo Williams	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	14	46%	0.03	3	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Anthony Parker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	12	46%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	5	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Gibson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.03	10	57%	0.02	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.01	0.04	12	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04
LeBron James	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	19	44%	-0.02	4	-0.08	14	57%	-0.05

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.17	0.01	0.03	15	82%	0.23	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	7	60%	0.11	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	6	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Bosh	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.07	17	46%	0.08	3	-0.05	12	75%	-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Banks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	9	27%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	6	29%	-0.06	3	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.1	2.4	37.1	16.0	35.5	2.6	33.4	157.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +46.3%

TOR +1.1%

TOR +4.1%

CLE -0.7%

CLE -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	TOR	NBA	CLE	TOR	NBA
this game	15.5	13.2	15.3	91.0	100.0	106.0
season	16.1	15.0		109.5	109.6
opponent	15.5	15.0		111.5	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.0	16.8	14.0	15.2	15.5
TOR	11.3	13.2	15.4	13.1	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Gibson	74	73	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.40	12	-22	34	14.5	18.2	-3.73	13.6	12.2	1.36
Anderson Varejao	51	53	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-8	6	14.7	16.3	-1.56	14.1	12.2	1.85
JJ Hickson	10	11	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-8	6	15.4	15.5	-0.08	12.0	13.3	-1.34
LeBron James	82	84	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.24	2	-12	14	15.1	17.0	-1.87	13.7	10.9	2.71
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	29	28	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	-2	-6	16.3	15.1	1.14	11.4	13.9	-2.50
Jamario Moon	41	41	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-4	-2	15.9	15.2	0.65	13.0	13.3	-0.37
Anthony Parker	78	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.19	-7	-3	-4	15.3	15.9	-0.56	13.7	11.3	2.40
Mo Williams	83	83	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.06	-14	4	-18	15.9	13.5	2.34	13.0	14.3	-1.31
Shaquille O'Neal	52	53	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.16	-25	15	-40	16.9	13.9	3.07	12.0	14.5	-2.44

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marco Belinelli	40	41	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.02	19	-9	28	13.1	13.2	-0.08	16.3	14.9	1.39
DeMar DeRozan	50	49	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.10	11	-1	12	12.2	14.2	-1.94	17.0	14.0	3.04
Chris Bosh	86	83	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	1	8	13.1	13.7	-0.63	15.4	15.8	-0.43
Hedo Turkoglu	69	68	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.20	6	4	2	14.0	11.5	2.53	15.2	15.9	-0.69
Andrea Bargnani	62	63	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.01	11	-1	12	12.4	14.5	-2.10	16.3	14.0	2.29
Amir Johnson	11	11	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	4	2	11.8	13.4	-1.55	18.3	15.1	3.15
Rasho Nesterovic	14	14	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	6	-2	13.7	13.1	0.60	15.8	15.4	0.37
Jarrett Jack	67	65	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.38	-9	19	-28	13.6	12.5	1.05	14.6	17.0	-2.35
Jose Calderon	67	66	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	9	-8	13.2	13.1	0.12	14.7	17.0	-2.36
Marcus Banks	1	1	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	10	-10	0.0	13.3	-13.33	25.0	15.4	9.63
Antoine Wright	38	39	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.08	-8	18	-26	14.5	12.4	2.05	13.4	16.8	-3.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.82,0.71,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 77, SAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.74,0.71,0.59,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
CHI 97, MIA 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
PHX 98, DEN 116	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.6,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.81,0.87,0.75,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.1%