NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	98		Excitement	5.8 [658]		MVP	Will Barton (DEN): +14.3%
Denver Nuggets	116		Comeback	1.1 [1136]		LVP	Alex Len (PHX): -18.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Leuer	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.17	0.00	0.07	10	83%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Devin Booker	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	24	59%	0.17	5	-0.09	11	91%	0.03
Archie Goodwin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	5	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Mirza Teletovic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	7	31%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ronnie Price	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Phil Pressey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.00	9	45%	0.03	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Tyson Chandler	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	4	53%	0.02	3	-0.08	7	57%	-0.03
PJ Tucker	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.01	-0.01	9	5%	-0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Alex Len	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-0.01	13	15%	-0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	-0.00	12	59%	0.14	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.17	0.03	0.08	8	86%	0.12	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Emmanuel Mudiay	0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.15	0.03	0.07	20	73%	0.18	4	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Axel Toupane	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.06	0.00	7	62%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	9	65%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	11	55%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	4	40%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.02	9	22%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.4	28.5	15.4	30.6	2.4	30.2	135.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +56.3%

PHX -4.6%

PHX -6.5%

DEN +9.9%

PHX -5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DEN	NBA	PHX	DEN	NBA
this game	14.1	14.0	14.9	95.1	113.7	105.1
season	14.4	14.9		100.9	104.3
opponent	14.9	14.4		107.8	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.3	14.1	14.7	13.4	14.1
DEN	12.3	13.1	14.7	16.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Phil Pressey	0	1	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-18	18	0.0	14.1	-14.13	7.0	14.0	-7.04
PJ Tucker	43	40	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-17	16	13.7	14.4	-0.78	13.6	14.2	-0.65
Tyson Chandler	51	48	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-17	16	14.0	14.3	-0.29	13.2	14.6	-1.40
Mirza Teletovic	44	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.02	-7	-11	4	14.3	14.0	0.37	15.3	12.8	2.50
Alex Len	72	68	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.22	-15	-3	-12	14.0	14.5	-0.47	13.6	14.6	-0.97
Ronnie Price	83	81	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	-9	0	14.1	14.1	-0.03	13.8	14.7	-0.94
Brandon Knight	51	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.22	-18	0	-18	14.0	14.2	-0.21	14.3	13.6	0.69
Jon Leuer	35	37	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.14	-9	-9	0	14.5	14.0	0.50	14.1	13.9	0.22
Archie Goodwin	41	41	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.00	-14	-4	-10	15.1	13.5	1.61	13.9	14.0	-0.20
Devin Booker	95	93	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.00	-16	-2	-14	13.9	16.4	-2.44	14.1	12.3	1.80

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Barton	65	64	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.08	15	3	12	13.5	14.7	-1.19	14.6	13.3	1.28
Emmanuel Mudiay	73	76	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.09	20	-2	22	14.0	13.9	0.15	13.8	15.1	-1.28
Darrell Arthur	60	60	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.10	19	-1	20	14.1	13.8	0.31	14.7	13.3	1.49
Nikola Jokic	57	60	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.15	20	-2	22	14.4	13.4	0.98	13.9	14.4	-0.50
Axel Toupane	31	30	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.14	8	10	-2	14.6	13.7	0.97	14.8	13.8	1.00
D.J. Augustin	42	38	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.19	14	4	10	14.4	13.6	0.78	14.2	14.1	0.18
Joffrey Lauvergne	43	40	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	17	-16	13.4	14.4	-0.95	14.4	14.0	0.41
Jusuf Nurkic	11	11	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	18	-18	11.9	14.2	-2.31	12.4	14.3	-1.97
Kenneth Faried	30	33	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	22	-26	13.8	14.0	-0.19	14.0	14.2	-0.14
JaKarr Sampson	30	33	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	22	-26	13.8	14.0	-0.19	14.0	14.2	-0.14
Gary Harris	68	70	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.11	1	17	-16	14.1	13.8	0.31	13.6	15.3	-1.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.6,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.81,0.87,0.75,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 91, TOR 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.82,0.71,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.1%
NJN 99, PHX 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.92,0.93,0.86,0.89,0.75,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.9%
CHI 97, MIA 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%