NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	101		Excitement	2.8 [1207]		MVP	Roger Mason Jr. (SAS): +15.6%
Golden State Warriors	72		Comeback	1.2 [983]		LVP	Kelenna Azubuike (GSW): -18.7%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roger Mason Jr.	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.03	0.01	8	87%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	13	55%	0.06	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.03
George Hill	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	8	65%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Bruce Bowen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.01	0.06	12	62%	0.04	2	-0.03	8	75%	-0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	40%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	14	46%	-0.00	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.02
Ime Udoka	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	5	14%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.05	9	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Watson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	15	49%	0.08	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.00
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.02	18	59%	0.09	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Rob Kurz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.03	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	10	42%	-0.04	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	7	14%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	21	21%	-0.12	4	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.7	0.7	29.3	15.0	28.5	2.7	26.6	131.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +30.8%

GSW -3.2%

SAS +21.9%

SAS +0.2%

SAS +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	GSW	NBA	SAS	GSW	NBA
this game	17.0	14.1	15.5	111.0	76.6	106.4
season	16.4	13.8		106.6	107.3
opponent	15.0	15.7		111.2	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.1	15.7	16.8	19.6	17.0
GSW	14.5	15.6	13.3	13.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruce Bowen	55	59	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.06	16	13	3	17.0	17.1	-0.07	13.8	14.7	-0.92
Tony Parker	52	51	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.44	29	0	29	16.3	18.0	-1.63	16.2	11.7	4.46
Roger Mason Jr.	38	39	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.22	21	8	13	14.7	18.7	-4.01	15.0	13.5	1.52
Tim Duncan	42	42	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.33	23	6	17	16.0	18.0	-2.03	16.4	12.3	4.14
Drew Gooden	42	47	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.19	15	14	1	17.2	16.9	0.27	13.7	14.6	-0.96
Kurt Thomas	22	22	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.09	11	18	-7	15.1	17.7	-2.52	13.5	14.3	-0.83
Michael Finley	37	36	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.22	12	17	-5	17.3	16.9	0.43	15.4	13.3	2.12
Matt Bonner	28	27	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.37	17	12	5	16.3	17.4	-1.04	15.7	13.5	2.20
Ime Udoka	53	54	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	25	-21	18.0	15.8	2.20	12.4	16.4	-4.02
Fabricio Oberto	34	37	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.05	0	29	-29	18.7	16.1	2.65	12.0	15.5	-3.48
George Hill	30	34	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	31	-33	18.9	16.1	2.82	12.0	15.4	-3.40
Jacque Vaughn	22	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	30	-31	19.6	16.2	3.42	13.1	14.5	-1.37

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rob Kurz	41	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-27	25	12.9	15.1	-2.19	19.0	15.6	3.38
Andris Biedrins	44	41	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.39	-24	-5	-19	13.4	14.8	-1.46	16.4	17.6	-1.15
Kelenna Azubuike	82	79	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	-13	-3	14.1	14.6	-0.51	17.3	15.4	1.87
Ronny Turiaf	44	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.24	-21	-8	-13	16.0	12.5	3.54	15.8	18.2	-2.42
Anthony Morrow	86	84	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	0.35	-25	-4	-21	13.7	18.6	-4.90	17.2	15.0	2.21
Anthony Randolph	88	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.29	-25	-4	-21	14.2	13.3	0.86	16.9	18.3	-1.35
CJ Watson	85	85	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.44	-32	3	-35	14.6	9.9	4.70	16.8	20.3	-3.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 107, NYK 73	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.23,0.31,0.28,0.17,0.14,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
MIA 103, HOU 85	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
BOS 99, MIL 77	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%