inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 107 Excitement2.5 [1260] MVPRicky Davis (BOS): +8.6%
New York Knicks 73 Comeback1.2 [534] LVPStephon Marbury (NYK): -11.6%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ricky Davis0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.070.00-0.021177%0.123-0.034100%0.00
Marcus Banks0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.01-0.01583%0.0710.002100%0.01
Jiri Welsch0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.00-0.02480%0.052-0.02250%0.00
Gary Payton0.020,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.00-0.04950%0.062-0.0300%0.00
Paul Pierce0.020,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.140.000.121867%0.0200.006100%0.01
Tom Gugliotta0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Walter McCarty0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Allen0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Raef LaFrentz-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.03-0.000.05756%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Al Jefferson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.010.000.01844%-0.0300.0020%-0.00
Kendrick Perkins-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.000.02333%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Mark Blount-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.000.00643%-0.042-0.0220%-0.03

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Moochie Norris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.020.00-0.06440%0.0400.0020%0.00
Jamal Crawford0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.060.01-0.08950%0.063-0.03475%0.01
Jerome Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.03744%-0.001-0.00250%0.00
Shandon Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.050.00-0.0520%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Vin Baker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02150%0.011-0.0320%-0.01
Michael Sweetney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.010.000.021258%-0.032-0.00757%-0.02
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.010.01350%-0.022-0.0520%-0.03
Kurt Thomas0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.011137%-0.052-0.02250%0.00
Tim Thomas0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.12-0.01-0.02933%-0.024-0.0900%0.00
Stephon Marbury0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.06-0.020.041148%-0.053-0.073100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.92.632.216.426.22.727.6132.8
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +21.4%
NYK -1.0%
BOS +11.6%
BOS +17.9%
BOS +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSNYKNBABOSNYKNBA
this game16.715.915.5121.682.0104.0
season14.415.8104.7103.9
opponent15.316.0106.5104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS15.317.516.018.316.7
NYK14.116.818.314.515.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ricky Davis61630.450.050.41-0.6337-34016.217.8-1.5616.514.32.18
Paul Pierce61630.440.060.38-0.473132815.719.0-3.2716.015.40.61
Marcus Banks35360.370.130.250.021222-1018.515.53.0715.216.3-1.11
Raef LaFrentz50500.360.140.22-0.201915415.218.6-3.3716.115.60.47
Mark Blount46470.290.210.07-0.452591614.718.9-4.2315.716.1-0.41
Tom Gugliotta29300.250.25-0.00-0.071123-1218.116.02.1516.415.60.87
Jiri Welsch35330.150.35-0.200.12133-3218.215.72.4515.016.4-1.41
Gary Payton53530.130.37-0.25-0.5222121015.518.5-3.0716.315.21.11
Kendrick Perkins13130.090.41-0.31-0.11727-2018.416.41.9817.215.61.61
Walter McCarty11120.010.49-0.48-0.14529-2419.016.42.6415.715.9-0.22
Al Jefferson2725-0.010.51-0.52-0.04133-3219.515.44.0814.816.3-1.47
Tony Allen1920-0.030.53-0.57-0.00-135-3618.716.12.6114.316.3-1.94

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jerome Williams2525-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-333214.216.5-2.2418.316.12.22
Shandon Anderson3536-0.01-0.490.480.19-7-272016.015.70.2918.115.72.31
Moochie Norris2627-0.03-0.470.430.11-5-292416.615.51.0819.315.53.76
Nazr Mohammed1315-0.10-0.400.300.05-5-292413.616.2-2.6216.416.8-0.35
Trevor Ariza3735-0.11-0.390.280.03-5-292415.416.2-0.7718.415.52.88
Vin Baker2524-0.15-0.350.200.09-8-261819.114.64.5416.616.7-0.15
Michael Sweetney5857-0.31-0.19-0.130.33-22-12-1015.616.3-0.7217.415.32.12
Jamal Crawford5858-0.38-0.12-0.250.42-27-7-2016.315.01.2616.018.1-2.13
Kurt Thomas5655-0.43-0.07-0.360.51-32-2-3016.015.50.4915.319.0-3.64
Stephon Marbury6361-0.47-0.03-0.430.38-29-5-2415.516.6-1.0815.519.3-3.76
Tim Thomas4947-0.510.01-0.520.34-29-5-2415.416.4-1.0415.318.3-3.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.23,0.31,0.28,0.17,0.14,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 101, GSW 720.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.2%
DET 97, NYK 810.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.0%
BOS 99, MIL 770.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.7%