NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	99		Excitement	3.1 [1157]		MVP	Sam Cassell (BOS): +8.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	77		Comeback	1.2 [1158]		LVP	Charlie Villanueva (MIL): -9.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.02	-0.05	9	56%	0.08	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	16	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Kendrick Perkins	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	4	100%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	9	68%	0.06	1	-0.01	1	100%	-0.00
Paul Pierce	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	8	68%	0.09	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	45%	0.02	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Leon Powe	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Eddie House	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.14	-0.00	0.15	11	77%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	6	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	5	36%	0.03	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Awvee Storey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	62%	-0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	11	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.07	13	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	42%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	12	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	9	33%	-0.05	2	-0.02	6	33%	-0.04
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	15	31%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.4	31.5	16.3	26.8	0.7	26.6	131.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +35.5%

BOS +9.9%

MIL -8.8%

BOS +13.0%

BOS +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MIL	NBA	BOS	MIL	NBA
this game	16.9	16.4	15.4	116.5	87.5	105.7
season	15.6	15.8		108.0	103.4
opponent	15.2	15.9		110.7	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.6	15.0	17.4	18.5	16.9
MIL	19.4	16.2	16.9	13.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	44	48	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.14	18	4	14	16.8	17.0	-0.23	18.4	14.1	4.25
Paul Pierce	45	47	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.08	16	6	10	17.3	16.4	0.86	18.0	14.7	3.30
Rajon Rondo	45	44	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.17	18	4	14	16.8	16.9	-0.13	17.0	15.8	1.25
James Posey	53	56	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.07	14	8	6	16.5	17.6	-1.09	15.0	18.9	-3.86
Kendrick Perkins	39	40	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.05	10	12	-2	17.3	16.5	0.83	18.7	14.5	4.22
P.J. Brown	45	46	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.00	8	14	-6	16.5	17.3	-0.84	14.3	18.7	-4.39
Tony Allen	44	45	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.08	3	19	-16	18.5	15.1	3.40	18.0	14.7	3.32
Sam Cassell	42	45	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.03	6	16	-10	16.4	17.4	-0.99	15.8	17.0	-1.22
Eddie House	40	41	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.10	8	14	-6	16.4	17.3	-0.86	14.7	18.0	-3.30
Leon Powe	16	15	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	17	-12	15.0	17.3	-2.32	15.3	16.7	-1.39
Brian Scalabrine	12	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	18	-14	17.6	16.8	0.82	11.3	17.3	-6.00

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ramon Sessions	13	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-18	14	11.3	17.3	-6.00	17.6	16.8	0.82
Awvee Storey	18	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.11	-4	-18	14	13.3	17.2	-3.88	18.1	16.6	1.47
Bobby Simmons	28	26	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.07	-3	-19	16	14.0	17.6	-3.60	18.6	16.1	2.50
Jake Voskuhl	11	13	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-20	18	15.3	16.6	-1.31	14.9	17.2	-2.31
Dan Gadzuric	28	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	-18	14	16.9	16.2	0.75	18.2	16.2	1.99
Royal Ivey	33	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.04	-3	-19	16	17.6	15.7	1.95	17.0	16.8	0.14
Desmond Mason	53	53	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-17	12	17.4	14.9	2.50	17.8	15.4	2.37
Charlie Bell	53	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.11	-16	-6	-10	14.8	18.9	-4.05	15.9	18.3	-2.39
Mo Williams	42	41	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.06	-15	-7	-8	17.0	15.8	1.20	16.6	17.1	-0.53
Michael Ruffin	57	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.16	-19	-3	-16	16.1	17.0	-0.84	16.0	18.4	-2.44
Charlie Villanueva	52	50	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.03	-16	-6	-10	18.0	14.1	3.96	16.7	17.1	-0.39
Michael Redd	52	50	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.10	-19	-3	-16	18.1	14.0	4.14	16.5	17.4	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 93, BOS 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0	97.0%
SAS 101, GSW 72	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
MIN 107, TOR 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%