NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	83		Excitement	1.6 [1308]		MVP	Greg Oden (POR): +4.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	113		Comeback	1.1 [1300]		LVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): -8.0%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaun Livingston	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	60%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Robert Swift	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	10	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Nick Collison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.03	8	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ White	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	10	70%	0.03	5	-0.06	3	100%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Weaver	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	16	37%	-0.05	2	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	15	33%	-0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Oden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.00	0.05	11	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	7	82%	0.07	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	0.00	0.06	14	66%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	9	39%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.17	0.00	0.14	10	80%	0.03	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	67%	0.04	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	9	61%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	17%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	8	29%	-0.02	2	-0.00	1	100%	-0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.12	0.00	-0.07	8	28%	-0.04	3	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	26.3	15.7	25.1	1.7	26.2	120.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +32.3%

POR +6.7%

POR +7.1%

POR +5.4%

OKC -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	POR	NBA	OKC	POR	NBA
this game	14.3	16.1	15.5	87.4	118.9	106.4
season	14.9	16.7		100.5	111.0
opponent	16.0	15.1		105.8	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	12.8	15.3	12.6	16.5	14.3
POR	15.4	14.7	18.7	15.6	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Swift	29	29	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-31	32	15.2	13.8	1.37	16.4	15.9	0.55
DJ White	34	35	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.10	-9	-21	12	16.6	12.9	3.68	14.4	17.0	-2.68
Kyle Weaver	41	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.15	-11	-19	8	14.2	14.3	-0.02	15.5	16.5	-0.93
Nenad Krstic	41	41	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.23	-15	-15	0	13.7	14.7	-1.05	16.6	15.6	1.00
Shaun Livingston	37	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.13	-12	-18	6	15.6	13.4	2.15	14.6	17.0	-2.39
Nick Collison	40	40	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.06	-12	-18	6	13.3	15.0	-1.69	16.7	15.6	1.14
Earl Watson	50	52	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.21	-18	-12	-6	15.3	13.1	2.13	15.2	17.1	-1.97
Russell Westbrook	78	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.38	-24	-6	-18	14.4	13.7	0.67	16.4	14.6	1.79
Jeff Green	61	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.28	-21	-9	-12	12.9	16.6	-3.68	17.0	14.4	2.68
Kevin Durant	64	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.39	-29	-1	-28	13.1	16.6	-3.46	16.6	15.0	1.58

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Outlaw	65	66	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.31	25	5	20	16.8	14.5	2.28	13.3	16.5	-3.26
LaMarcus Aldridge	54	54	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.35	24	6	18	16.9	15.0	1.83	13.1	15.8	-2.64
Brandon Roy	45	46	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.27	20	10	10	15.0	17.0	-1.94	14.5	14.0	0.56
Greg Oden	40	41	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.27	19	11	8	15.5	16.4	-0.89	14.4	14.1	0.24
Steve Blake	49	49	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.28	19	11	8	16.7	15.3	1.39	13.6	14.9	-1.32
Rudy Fernandez	58	57	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.20	16	14	2	16.3	15.7	0.55	14.6	13.8	0.77
Sergio Rodriguez	46	46	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.10	11	19	-8	15.3	16.7	-1.39	14.9	13.6	1.32
Joel Przybilla	42	43	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.26	16	14	2	16.7	15.5	1.17	13.8	14.6	-0.84
Channing Frye	41	41	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.03	6	24	-18	15.0	16.9	-1.83	15.8	13.1	2.64
Jerryd Bayless	22	21	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	31	-32	15.5	16.2	-0.79	15.9	13.8	2.12
Michael Ruffin	13	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	35	-40	15.5	16.1	-0.61	15.5	14.1	1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 81, NJN 117	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.4%
MIA 54, TOR 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%
DET 76, SAS 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%