NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	117		Excitement	6.5 [518]		MVP	Brandon Rush (IND): +20.7%
Indiana Pacers	109		Comeback	1.5 [811]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (IND): -18.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.08	-0.02	23	62%	0.30	5	-0.10	14	79%	0.02
Delonte West	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.00	13	59%	0.10	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.01	14	53%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Gibson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.04	-0.03	7	43%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darnell Jackson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	64%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Tarence Kinsey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.05	13	62%	0.06	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	44%	-0.00	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Rush	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.18	0.07	0.05	17	71%	0.23	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.12	0.12	0.15	-0.01	0.01	28	57%	0.16	1	-0.04	11	91%	0.04
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	13	57%	0.07	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	10	50%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.15	-0.07	-0.04	9	29%	-0.02	5	-0.17	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.5	31.3	15.4	25.6	2.6	34.0	137.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +18.3%

CLE +9.0%

CLE +15.3%

CLE +6.6%

CLE +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	IND	NBA	CLE	IND	NBA
this game	16.3	12.9	15.5	118.2	111.2	106.4
season	16.9	14.1		110.6	106.5
opponent	15.3	15.2		107.7	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.2	15.1	16.6	16.4	16.3
IND	12.1	13.2	13.4	13.0	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delonte West	85	85	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.24	13	-5	18	16.7	14.2	2.44	12.9	13.2	-0.37
Anderson Varejao	71	72	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.15	11	-3	14	16.4	16.2	0.14	12.9	13.0	-0.18
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	55	56	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.20	9	-1	10	16.6	16.0	0.56	13.2	12.5	0.63
LeBron James	79	79	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.22	8	0	8	16.0	17.7	-1.74	13.2	11.8	1.39
Mo Williams	73	71	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	3	2	17.3	13.5	3.76	12.9	12.9	0.03
Wally Szczerbiak	34	35	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.03	5	3	2	14.0	17.5	-3.57	11.9	13.4	-1.50
Joe Smith	42	40	0.04	0.47	-0.43	0.06	-1	9	-10	16.2	16.4	-0.13	12.4	13.2	-0.77
Darnell Jackson	28	26	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.11	-3	11	-14	16.2	16.4	-0.14	13.0	12.9	0.18
Daniel Gibson	27	25	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.14	-5	13	-18	16.7	16.2	0.54	13.0	12.9	0.07
Tarence Kinsey	1	1	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	10	-12	1.0	16.5	-15.47	31.0	12.7	18.28

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh McRoberts	14	15	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.01	1	-9	10	11.9	13.1	-1.14	13.1	16.9	-3.75
Roy Hibbert	38	39	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.18	6	-14	20	12.8	13.0	-0.15	17.9	15.2	2.70
Brandon Rush	70	70	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.31	7	-15	22	12.9	12.9	0.02	15.4	18.5	-3.07
Jeff Foster	47	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-5	2	12.1	13.7	-1.58	15.1	17.5	-2.39
Rasho Nesterovic	12	12	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.04	-10	2	-12	15.6	12.5	3.05	16.7	16.3	0.40
Danny Granger	91	91	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.30	-3	-5	2	12.8	14.4	-1.64	16.7	11.6	5.10
T.J. Ford	53	53	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.00	-17	9	-26	12.8	13.1	-0.29	16.6	16.0	0.63
Jarrett Jack	82	85	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.16	-12	4	-16	13.2	11.6	1.53	16.3	16.4	-0.05
Troy Murphy	83	82	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.25	-9	1	-10	13.2	11.5	1.62	16.9	13.4	3.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.39,0.44,0.28,0.28,0.18,0.12,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.2,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.1,0.12,0.22,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.04,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 86, ORL 77	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.08,0	94.0%
LAC 103, CHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.31,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.13,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.34,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0	93.9%
VAN 105, SAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.19,0.13,0.08,0.02,0,0,0	93.8%