NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	101		Excitement	3.8 [1061]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +14.4%
Dallas Mavericks	130		Comeback	1.1 [956]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): -9.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.12	0.00	0.09	5	87%	0.03	0	0.00	5	100%	0.00
Deron Williams	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	14	51%	0.07	3	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Ronnie Brewer	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	10	62%	0.10	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Matt Harpring	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	50%	0.00	2	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	8	53%	0.02	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	10	41%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.02	0.05	12	59%	0.02	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	11	42%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.16	0.02	0.04	18	74%	0.21	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.17	0.00	0.04	8	90%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.00	0.04	16	66%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	3	83%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	6	73%	0.03	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	87%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	11	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	5	57%	-0.00	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	3.4	31.5	18.6	31.3	3.6	32.0	146.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +28.0%

DAL +3.2%

DAL +9.6%

DAL +7.8%

DAL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DAL	NBA	UTA	DAL	NBA
this game	13.5	15.1	15.5	100.0	128.7	106.4
season	15.3	15.6		107.7	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.0		107.1	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.5	13.1	12.5	12.9	13.5
DAL	14.5	13.6	13.7	19.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Harpring	12	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-26	23	13.1	13.5	-0.42	18.9	14.5	4.43
Kyrylo Fesenko	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-31	33	11.2	13.7	-2.45	16.6	14.9	1.64
Ronnie Price	15	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-26	23	12.5	13.6	-1.16	19.4	14.2	5.13
Brevin Knight	9	8	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.16	-8	-21	13	14.0	13.4	0.60	20.4	14.6	5.77
Mehmet Okur	60	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.10	-10	-19	9	13.9	12.9	1.01	14.3	16.2	-1.90
Andrei Kirilenko	71	72	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	-16	3	13.5	13.3	0.27	14.6	16.1	-1.46
Kyle Korver	47	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.25	-18	-11	-7	13.0	13.8	-0.81	14.7	15.3	-0.63
Paul Millsap	58	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.40	-26	-3	-23	13.2	13.8	-0.54	16.2	13.6	2.61
Deron Williams	77	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.11	-18	-11	-7	13.6	13.0	0.54	13.6	19.7	-6.10
Carlos Boozer	75	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.26	-24	-5	-19	13.6	13.1	0.46	14.6	16.3	-1.68
Ronnie Brewer	72	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.25	-24	-5	-19	13.7	12.8	0.93	15.0	15.2	-0.21

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	61	62	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.11	19	10	9	13.7	17.2	-3.54	13.7	13.1	0.53
Erick Dampier	64	63	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.16	20	9	11	14.4	16.2	-1.87	14.0	12.5	1.53
Josh Howard	61	61	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	14	1	13.5	17.4	-3.88	13.7	13.1	0.59
Dirk Nowitzki	67	65	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.05	14	15	-1	13.7	17.8	-4.17	13.9	12.6	1.27
Jose Juan Barea	54	54	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.38	22	7	15	16.6	13.3	3.29	12.6	14.4	-1.73
Jason Terry	60	62	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.16	13	16	-3	15.3	14.8	0.51	13.3	13.6	-0.30
Antoine Wright	45	45	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.32	18	11	7	16.3	14.1	2.18	14.7	12.5	2.22
James Singleton	34	34	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.25	12	17	-5	16.5	14.3	2.13	11.9	14.2	-2.28
Brandon Bass	30	32	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.32	14	15	-1	17.3	14.1	3.23	13.3	13.5	-0.16
Matt Carroll	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	28	-27	17.3	14.8	2.48	12.3	13.6	-1.28
Gerald Green	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	30	-31	16.6	14.9	1.64	12.1	13.6	-1.44
Ryan Hollins	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	31	-33	16.6	14.9	1.64	11.2	13.7	-2.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 87, HOU 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.57,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
NYK 83, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
LAL 81, NYK 91	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%