NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	81		Excitement	3.7 [1033]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +10.6%
New York Knicks	91		Comeback	1.3 [530]		LVP	Horace Grant (LAL): -11.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Horry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.03	10	75%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Rick Fox	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.03	4	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Tyronn Lue	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	5	17%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	27	51%	0.00	3	-0.05	11	73%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	11	32%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Ron Harper	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	6	21%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Horace Grant	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.00	-0.01	8	15%	-0.12	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.01	27	59%	0.13	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	58%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.01	-0.04	23	54%	0.09	3	-0.06	6	83%	-0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	4	50%	0.01	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	8	44%	0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.5	28.4	18.8	30.6	2.7	32.5	136.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +40.6%

NYK +3.5%

NYK +2.8%

LAL -0.3%

NYK +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NYK	NBA	LAL	NYK	NBA
this game	16.0	15.9	15.5	88.0	102.2	100.9
season	15.6	16.4		106.8	99.2
opponent	16.1	15.2		96.6	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	19.0	15.4	14.9	14.7	16.0
NYK	14.3	16.6	17.1	15.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyronn Lue	42	42	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.30	11	-21	32	13.9	17.7	-3.73	16.9	14.9	1.94
Devean George	25	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.15	5	-15	20	13.9	16.7	-2.80	17.4	15.3	2.07
Mark Madsen	40	41	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-13	16	14.4	17.1	-2.71	15.8	15.9	-0.18
Ron Harper	31	29	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-5	0	18.4	14.7	3.62	16.5	15.5	0.98
Rick Fox	41	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-6	2	16.8	15.3	1.44	15.9	15.8	0.04
Robert Horry	58	54	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-11	12	13.8	19.6	-5.85	16.2	15.4	0.80
Greg Foster	30	30	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.07	-11	1	-12	19.8	14.1	5.65	15.7	15.9	-0.18
Isaiah Rider	41	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-7	4	16.0	15.9	0.08	17.1	14.7	2.40
Brian Shaw	19	18	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.09	-16	6	-22	16.5	15.8	0.72	12.4	16.7	-4.34
Horace Grant	50	48	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	5	-20	17.6	14.0	3.69	15.2	16.7	-1.49
Kobe Bryant	83	80	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.10	-16	6	-22	16.0	15.4	0.57	15.0	23.0	-7.95

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Latrell Sprewell	80	84	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.11	15	-5	20	14.8	25.2	-10.42	15.7	18.6	-2.92
Larry Johnson	76	78	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.23	8	2	6	15.8	16.0	-0.17	16.5	12.9	3.57
Allan Houston	76	77	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.11	11	-1	12	16.4	12.4	4.06	16.4	13.5	2.97
Luc Longley	43	43	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.05	15	-5	20	14.7	17.0	-2.28	18.8	13.5	5.28
Charlie Ward	43	45	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.04	13	-3	16	15.8	15.9	-0.17	16.9	15.0	1.87
Glen Rice	54	58	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.23	-1	11	-12	16.2	15.4	0.80	13.8	19.6	-5.85
Chris Childs	46	47	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.24	-3	13	-16	15.9	15.8	0.17	15.0	16.9	-1.87
Travis Knight	27	28	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.20	-8	18	-26	18.6	14.6	3.98	14.0	16.8	-2.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 77, LAC 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
LAL 104, DAL 118	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.94,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
UTA 75, DEN 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%