NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	87		Excitement	3.8 [1044]		MVP	Trevor Ariza (HOU): +11.2%
Houston Rockets	109		Comeback	1.2 [1261]		LVP	Ryan Anderson (HOU): -4.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.00	9	61%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.04	13	65%	0.05	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Dwight Powell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	4	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	10	41%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.02	0.06	22	51%	0.01	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
AJ Hammons	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Gibson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	5	0%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Salah Mejri	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Brussino	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	11	71%	0.15	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.00	0.03	6	92%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	-0.00	-0.01	14	64%	0.11	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	-0.04	12	53%	0.12	4	-0.08	10	80%	0.01
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	1	150%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.01
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	7	64%	0.05	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.13	0.00	0.12	7	94%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
KJ McDaniels	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ennis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	8	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	0.8	28.2	15.7	22.5	2.5	31.4	127.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +45.1%

HOU +3.7%

HOU +13.1%

DAL -13.0%

HOU +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	HOU	NBA	DAL	HOU	NBA
this game	17.1	15.8	14.8	100.0	123.9	107.7
season	16.2	13.7		104.4	113.2
opponent	14.9	14.7		108.1	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.0	18.4	18.0	15.0	17.1
HOU	13.5	16.8	16.2	16.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
AJ Hammons	7	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-16	10	15.0	17.3	-2.26	14.1	16.0	-1.84
Devin Harris	8	8	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.02	-2	-20	18	18.1	17.0	1.15	14.7	15.9	-1.20
Nicolas Brussino	24	24	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.12	-7	-15	8	16.3	17.4	-1.03	16.6	15.6	1.02
Justin Anderson	21	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.16	-9	-13	4	15.8	17.5	-1.68	15.2	16.0	-0.85
Jonathan Gibson	25	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.10	-7	-15	8	15.9	17.5	-1.63	16.3	15.6	0.66
Seth Curry	45	47	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	-15	8	18.2	15.9	2.23	16.5	15.1	1.44
Dwight Powell	45	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.01	-9	-13	4	16.9	17.2	-0.30	17.0	14.6	2.40
Salah Mejri	24	22	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	-10	-2	17.3	17.0	0.35	14.2	16.4	-2.15
Dorian Finney-Smith	55	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.07	-13	-9	-4	16.9	17.4	-0.47	15.1	17.2	-2.12
Deron Williams	60	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	-10	-2	17.2	16.9	0.28	15.7	16.0	-0.29
Harrison Barnes	58	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.04	-11	-11	0	17.4	16.4	0.95	16.2	15.1	1.15
Wesley Matthews	63	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.02	-15	-7	-8	17.4	16.3	1.03	15.6	16.6	-1.02

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	73	73	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.15	21	1	20	15.5	17.4	-1.88	17.4	15.4	1.97
Trevor Ariza	59	59	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.01	14	8	6	15.1	17.3	-2.24	17.4	16.5	0.91
Ryan Anderson	55	55	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	9	4	15.5	16.4	-0.93	17.0	17.2	-0.17
Eric Gordon	48	48	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	10	2	15.8	15.8	-0.02	17.6	16.5	1.12
Clint Capela	51	51	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.03	10	12	-2	15.8	15.9	-0.04	16.6	17.7	-1.05
Sam Dekker	42	40	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.18	14	8	6	15.8	15.9	-0.06	16.8	17.3	-0.47
Montrezl Harrell	34	33	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.06	9	13	-4	16.6	15.4	1.22	17.7	16.7	0.94
Patrick Beverley	53	53	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.08	9	13	-4	16.2	15.3	0.83	16.5	17.9	-1.36
Corey Brewer	21	21	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	20	-18	18.0	15.2	2.84	16.3	17.3	-0.98
KJ McDaniels	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	19	-16	16.0	15.8	0.16	15.0	17.1	-2.10
Tyler Ennis	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	19	-16	16.0	15.8	0.16	15.0	17.1	-2.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.57,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 90, IND 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,1	96.5%
IND 91, CLE 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.5%
UTA 101, DAL 130	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%