NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	101		Excitement	2.2 [1270]		MVP	Danny Granger (IND): +7.5%
Indiana Pacers	130		Comeback	1.2 [1123]		LVP	Shawn Marion (TOR): -8.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	11	31%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Chris Bosh	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.10	-0.00	0.09	15	64%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Quincy Douby	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	6	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	9	52%	0.01	0	0.00	9	89%	-0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick O'Bryant	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.09	-0.00	0.10	11	73%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	10	46%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Jason Kapono	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	12	33%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.11	0.00	-0.08	9	22%	-0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roko Leni Ukic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	8	29%	-0.02	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.18	0.00	0.11	16	71%	0.09	1	-0.01	9	100%	0.02
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	10	70%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.08	9	40%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	8	65%	0.04	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.01
Troy Murphy	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	10	61%	0.04	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.18	-0.00	0.16	11	92%	0.04	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	8	67%	0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Diener	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maceo Baston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.11	0.00	-0.11	10	25%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.6	28.5	16.4	26.8	1.8	28.2	129.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +34.4%

IND +6.4%

IND +1.9%

IND +6.3%

IND +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	IND	NBA	TOR	IND	NBA
this game	14.1	13.5	15.5	97.1	125.0	106.4
season	15.1	14.1		105.0	106.5
opponent	15.3	15.6		107.7	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.4	16.0	13.2	13.1	14.1
IND	14.4	11.7	13.0	15.1	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joey Graham	49	50	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-29	29	13.1	15.0	-1.89	14.5	12.6	1.87
Jake Voskuhl	11	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	-23	17	15.0	14.0	0.96	14.2	13.5	0.71
Quincy Douby	48	48	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	-24	19	14.0	14.2	-0.23	12.9	14.1	-1.13
Patrick O'Bryant	43	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-32	35	13.0	14.9	-1.87	14.9	12.5	2.44
Jose Calderon	56	55	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.36	-17	-12	-5	14.3	14.0	0.35	12.6	14.6	-2.01
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	49	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.37	-18	-11	-7	14.5	13.9	0.61	12.4	14.4	-2.00
Jason Kapono	42	42	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.30	2	-31	33	13.4	14.7	-1.28	14.5	12.9	1.60
Anthony Parker	64	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.61	-30	1	-31	14.6	13.3	1.29	13.0	14.4	-1.47
Roko Leni Ukic	48	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.01	-12	-17	5	14.0	14.3	-0.35	14.6	12.6	2.01
Shawn Marion	52	51	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.42	-29	0	-29	14.7	13.6	1.10	13.1	13.9	-0.81
Chris Bosh	58	59	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.51	-33	4	-37	15.0	13.1	1.90	13.2	14.0	-0.80

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Granger	59	59	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.46	32	-3	35	13.3	13.9	-0.60	15.1	12.9	2.17
Troy Murphy	54	54	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.51	33	-4	37	13.0	14.1	-1.10	15.6	12.6	2.94
T.J. Ford	45	45	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.38	27	2	25	12.5	14.3	-1.83	14.9	13.6	1.31
Jarrett Jack	71	70	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.77	39	-10	49	12.8	15.1	-2.26	14.3	13.8	0.48
Jeff Foster	30	31	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.22	18	11	7	13.0	13.8	-0.77	14.7	13.9	0.81
Stephen Graham	55	54	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.05	11	18	-7	13.8	13.3	0.46	13.5	14.8	-1.34
Roy Hibbert	57	56	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.19	13	16	-3	13.7	13.4	0.34	14.9	13.3	1.58
Josh McRoberts	50	50	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.16	-4	33	-37	14.1	13.0	1.10	12.6	15.6	-2.94
Maceo Baston	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	31	-33	14.0	13.5	0.54	10.7	14.8	-4.11
Travis Diener	29	29	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.27	-9	38	-47	15.0	13.0	2.01	12.5	14.8	-2.30
Brandon Rush	53	55	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.34	-13	42	-55	14.7	12.4	2.27	13.8	14.5	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 105, DEN 125	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
IND 80, MIN 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
CHA 95, CLE 122	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%