NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	105		Excitement	2.1 [1287]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (DEN): +8.6%
Denver Nuggets	125		Comeback	1.3 [1078]		LVP	Yi Jianlian (MIL): -7.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jake Voskuhl	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Awvee Storey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.13	0.00	0.13	7	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	15	53%	0.03	4	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	8	33%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Bell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	0.00	0.04	4	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Michael Redd	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.01	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Mo Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.15	24	58%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.16	-0.00	-0.10	7	14%	-0.02	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	11	31%	-0.04	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.01	0.04	16	72%	0.14	4	-0.05	8	87%	-0.00
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	6	81%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	69%	0.05	1	0.00	8	62%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	21	53%	0.06	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	0.00	0.07	6	75%	0.00	1	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Yakhouba Diawara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	5	20%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	7	56%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.08	-0.00	0.10	7	81%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	30.5	15.5	26.2	1.6	26.3	124.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +40.1%

MIL -0.9%

DEN +5.9%

DEN +4.0%

DEN +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	DEN	NBA	MIL	DEN	NBA
this game	14.8	12.3	15.4	99.1	116.8	105.7
season	15.8	13.3		103.4	108.2
opponent	15.2	15.2		105.4	110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.8	16.0	16.2	13.2	14.8
DEN	12.0	10.7	12.6	14.0	12.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Gadzuric	15	16	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-25	30	14.1	14.9	-0.82	12.0	12.3	-0.33
Awvee Storey	22	23	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-20	20	14.7	14.8	-0.06	10.3	12.8	-2.57
Jake Voskuhl	21	20	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-22	24	14.3	14.9	-0.61	13.3	12.0	1.32
Royal Ivey	37	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.50	13	-33	46	14.8	14.8	0.02	13.7	11.4	2.23
Charlie Bell	51	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.07	-6	-14	8	14.5	15.0	-0.47	12.1	12.5	-0.38
Charlie Villanueva	60	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-17	14	14.7	14.9	-0.25	12.3	12.3	0.03
Andrew Bogut	57	58	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.17	-16	-4	-12	14.9	14.6	0.34	12.9	11.6	1.31
Yi Jianlian	63	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.25	-19	-1	-18	15.3	14.0	1.26	11.5	13.4	-1.86
Bobby Simmons	63	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.57	-30	10	-40	14.9	14.7	0.21	11.6	13.2	-1.66
Mo Williams	76	76	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.10	-16	-4	-12	14.5	15.5	-1.01	12.9	10.6	2.30
Michael Redd	65	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.45	-30	10	-40	15.0	14.4	0.63	12.1	12.5	-0.44

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	71	72	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.37	26	-6	32	11.4	14.1	-2.76	15.2	13.9	1.31
Allen Iverson	81	80	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.25	22	-2	24	12.5	11.7	0.78	14.7	15.0	-0.30
Chucky Atkins	43	43	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.26	2	18	-16	14.8	10.6	4.24	14.7	14.8	-0.17
Eduardo Najera	49	50	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.27	19	1	18	12.1	12.4	-0.25	15.2	14.4	0.77
Marcus Camby	68	67	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.22	16	4	12	11.7	13.3	-1.62	15.2	14.1	1.10
Linas Kleiza	40	41	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.16	3	17	-14	13.2	11.7	1.55	15.2	14.5	0.77
Nene	36	35	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.31	-2	22	-24	14.0	11.4	2.63	15.3	14.5	0.72
Kenyon Martin	36	35	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.29	17	3	14	10.7	13.1	-2.39	14.3	15.0	-0.69
Anthony Carter	58	56	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.32	16	4	12	10.8	14.0	-3.25	14.6	15.0	-0.35
J.R. Smith	25	25	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	30	-40	13.9	11.8	2.14	12.8	15.4	-2.53
Yakhouba Diawara	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	27	-34	12.4	12.2	0.20	14.4	14.9	-0.50
Bobby Jones	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	22	-24	10.9	12.4	-1.52	12.2	15.0	-2.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 101, IND 130	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
VAN 81, POR 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.64,0.75,0.72,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
WAS 87, UTA 129	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%