NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	80		Excitement	2.2 [1239]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +8.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	102		Comeback	1.2 [1087]		LVP	Al Harrington (IND): -12.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scot Pollard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	1	43%	-0.01	1	-0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.07	0.00	0.09	9	71%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	3	33%	-0.00	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	8	33%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Jamison Brewer	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	0.05	11	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	4	22%	-0.03	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	18	40%	-0.05	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.14	-0.00	-0.04	11	30%	-0.08	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Al Harrington	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.00	-0.01	12	38%	-0.06	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	-0.00	18	64%	0.09	1	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	11	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.02
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.10	0.00	0.08	10	81%	0.03	2	-0.02	6	100%	-0.00
Keith McLeod	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ndudi Ebi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.12	0.00	-0.09	8	31%	0.02	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	0.00	0.06	11	65%	-0.01	2	-0.01	4	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.8	34.8	16.0	30.1	2.5	28.4	140.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +40.8%

MIN +0.0%

IND -9.2%

MIN +13.2%

MIN +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIN	NBA	IND	MIN	NBA
this game	17.0	14.5	15.7	87.9	110.9	100.5
season	16.7	15.6		101.1	103.2
opponent	16.1	15.7		98.4	94.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	20.6	15.9	17.3	14.8	17.0
MIN	14.4	14.1	14.2	15.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scot Pollard	27	27	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.27	9	-31	40	14.1	18.2	-4.09	14.6	14.4	0.18
Primoz Brezec	19	19	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-22	22	13.7	17.9	-4.15	14.9	14.4	0.54
Jeff Foster	27	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.20	-13	-9	-4	21.4	15.2	6.29	14.3	14.5	-0.24
Fred Jones	38	38	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-21	20	15.9	17.8	-1.89	14.7	14.3	0.32
Jamison Brewer	50	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.19	-1	-21	20	16.0	18.3	-2.31	14.0	15.1	-1.14
Austin Croshere	50	51	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.09	-11	-11	0	15.0	19.5	-4.49	13.9	15.2	-1.31
Reggie Miller	36	37	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.25	-17	-5	-12	18.6	16.0	2.54	14.8	14.3	0.48
Anthony Johnson	41	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.33	-21	-1	-20	18.3	16.0	2.31	15.1	14.0	1.14
Metta World Peace	59	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.24	-20	-2	-18	18.5	14.3	4.18	14.4	14.6	-0.25
Al Harrington	50	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-13	4	15.7	18.6	-2.85	15.1	13.8	1.31
Jermaine O'Neal	58	58	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.34	-26	4	-30	18.5	14.4	4.08	14.1	15.1	-0.94

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Latrell Sprewell	70	70	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.44	31	-9	40	13.8	16.5	-2.61	17.5	15.3	2.26
Kevin Garnett	65	64	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.30	25	-3	28	14.6	14.1	0.56	19.4	11.4	7.93
Sam Cassell	56	56	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.24	22	0	22	14.6	14.3	0.31	19.6	12.9	6.63
Fred Hoiberg	68	66	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.04	13	9	4	14.3	14.8	-0.50	15.9	20.0	-4.05
Oliver Miller	52	54	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	16	-10	14.4	14.6	-0.23	16.2	18.2	-2.06
Trenton Hassell	48	48	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.18	3	19	-16	15.5	13.4	2.07	18.4	15.5	2.95
Gary Trent	38	38	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.04	7	15	-8	15.2	14.0	1.22	15.7	18.0	-2.34
Troy Hudson	27	27	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	23	-24	15.3	14.1	1.12	13.0	18.7	-5.77
Mark Madsen	19	17	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.08	4	18	-14	13.8	14.6	-0.85	14.1	17.7	-3.64
Keith McLeod	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	21	-20	11.3	14.8	-3.47	12.9	17.4	-4.55
Ndudi Ebi	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	23	-24	12.6	14.6	-2.02	12.3	17.4	-5.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 90, SAS 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
BOS 67, LAL 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
TOR 101, IND 130	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%