inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 90 Excitement2.1 [1239] MVPTim Duncan (SAS): +6.1%
San Antonio Spurs 108 Comeback1.2 [830] LVPShaquille O'Neal (LAL): -10.0%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brian Shaw0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.120.000.101080%0.0110.0000%0.00
Mark Madsen0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.020100%0.0010.001100%0.00
Mitch Richmond-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00657%0.001-0.002100%0.00
Slava Medvedenko-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00765%-0.002-0.003100%-0.00
Derek Fisher-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.07629%-0.001-0.00250%-0.01
Samaki Walker-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Robert Horry-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Devean George-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.02625%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Rick Fox-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.070.00-0.04850%0.024-0.0500%0.00
Lindsey Hunter-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.080.00-0.0540%-0.031-0.0000%0.00
Kobe Bryant-0.050,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.100.00-0.051656%0.047-0.09450%-0.00
Shaquille O'Neal-0.100,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.160.00-0.061044%-0.082-0.021968%-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.00-0.032053%0.0600.00771%0.01
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.00-0.021063%0.061-0.011050%-0.00
Danny Ferry0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.080.000.04585%0.0500.003100%0.00
David Robinson0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.011058%0.0200.004100%0.01
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.00-0.02444%0.0200.0010%-0.01
Mark Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.01267%0.0110.002100%0.00
Charles Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.140.00-0.14521%0.0030.00475%0.00
Cherokee Parks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.080.00-0.08533%-0.002-0.0020%-0.00
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.01850%-0.0120.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01955%0.002-0.024100%0.01
Terry Porter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.090.00-0.08540%0.024-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.634.220.433.11.828.3146.6
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +26.1%
SAS +10.5%
SAS +1.4%
SAS +9.5%
SAS +2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALSASNBALALSASNBA
this game13.815.015.689.1109.1102.3
season15.315.8106.9104.3
opponent15.715.498.099.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL16.316.814.78.713.8
SAS15.015.214.015.615.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Slava Medvedenko4342-0.02-0.480.47-0.3110-283810.316.4-6.0814.415.4-1.02
Brian Shaw4039-0.06-0.440.38-0.339-27369.017.0-7.9314.915.0-0.12
Mark Madsen1918-0.08-0.420.33-0.05-1-171612.114.2-2.1415.814.81.06
Mitch Richmond4243-0.13-0.370.23-0.316-243011.115.8-4.7015.414.70.71
Lindsey Hunter3130-0.19-0.310.120.16-12-6-616.412.73.6715.314.80.52
Samaki Walker3031-0.20-0.300.100.18-13-5-815.813.02.8315.314.80.47
Devean George4544-0.23-0.270.05-0.230-181812.415.0-2.6415.114.90.18
Rick Fox5655-0.27-0.23-0.050.25-180-1815.012.42.6414.915.1-0.18
Robert Horry3532-0.29-0.21-0.080.18-16-2-1416.312.53.7814.915.0-0.05
Kobe Bryant5453-0.30-0.20-0.100.23-180-1816.510.85.7115.214.70.47
Derek Fisher5351-0.32-0.18-0.130.01-11-7-413.813.9-0.1014.415.6-1.15
Shaquille O'Neal5757-0.41-0.09-0.310.36-268-3416.011.04.9914.815.2-0.34

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Danny Ferry63630.390.110.29-0.111711615.314.31.0014.213.30.93
David Robinson42410.340.160.19-0.151711615.614.51.0916.711.94.78
Tim Duncan56610.340.160.18-0.3925-73214.415.7-1.2915.611.14.54
Bruce Bowen53550.310.190.13-0.2720-22215.214.70.4716.610.56.10
Tony Parker53530.300.200.11-0.3121-32414.815.2-0.3415.512.03.55
Antonio Daniels61630.290.210.080.08711-414.515.8-1.2912.316.4-4.05
Malik Rose43430.290.210.07-0.2719-12014.715.2-0.4414.813.11.73
Terry Porter46480.200.30-0.110.28-321-2415.214.80.3412.015.5-3.55
Mark Bryant20200.030.47-0.440.20-624-3015.114.90.239.414.9-5.48
Charles Smith35350.000.50-0.490.33-1129-4014.915.0-0.139.416.2-6.80
Cherokee Parks23230.000.50-0.500.47-1634-5015.414.80.619.315.2-5.88


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 80, MIN 1020.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.0%
BOS 67, LAL 890.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%
TOR 101, IND 1300.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%