NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	83		Excitement	5.2 [773]		MVP	Von Wafer (HOU): +12.7%
Houston Rockets	93		Comeback	1.1 [717]		LVP	Metta World Peace (HOU): -14.2%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	7	64%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.03	18	58%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	11	58%	0.06	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
JJ Redick	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	10	46%	0.02	2	-0.06	6	67%	0.02
Tony Battie	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	9	28%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	11	42%	-0.03	3	-0.07	9	33%	-0.09

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Von Wafer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.05	-0.01	12	56%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Yao Ming	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.01	13	65%	0.10	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.02	7	44%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	53%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	9	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	0.04	8	55%	-0.01	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.04	-0.03	21	32%	-0.11	1	-0.03	8	37%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	26.2	15.7	25.6	1.8	41.6	136.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +27.9%

HOU +1.1%

HOU +17.3%

HOU +0.5%

HOU +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	HOU	NBA	ORL	HOU	NBA
this game	15.5	17.2	15.5	94.3	105.7	106.4
season	15.3	16.3		107.3	105.9
opponent	15.2	15.8		102.7	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	18.0	13.7	16.4	14.3	15.5
HOU	16.3	19.6	17.0	15.8	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafer Alston	59	58	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-7	4	15.7	15.3	0.39	16.0	19.6	-3.60
Courtney Lee	58	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.17	-1	-9	8	15.2	16.1	-0.86	16.8	18.0	-1.17
Dwight Howard	71	70	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.19	-1	-9	8	15.6	15.4	0.15	16.7	19.1	-2.34
JJ Redick	31	30	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	-3	-4	14.4	16.1	-1.72	17.3	17.2	0.11
Tony Battie	30	31	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.13	-4	-6	2	16.4	15.1	1.31	18.6	16.4	2.19
Rashard Lewis	73	73	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.21	-3	-7	4	15.6	15.4	0.16	16.5	20.8	-4.35
Tyronn Lue	29	30	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-3	-4	15.3	15.7	-0.39	19.6	16.0	3.60
Marcin Gortat	20	20	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	1	-12	16.4	15.3	1.12	18.7	16.7	1.95
Hedo Turkoglu	69	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.06	-13	3	-16	15.6	15.3	0.28	17.7	15.3	2.41

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	79	81	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.16	17	-7	24	17.2	17.6	-0.40	15.4	17.6	-2.21
Yao Ming	72	73	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.03	15	-5	20	17.2	17.2	-0.07	14.9	18.6	-3.70
Carl Landry	35	35	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.15	10	0	10	18.5	16.4	2.10	16.1	15.2	0.87
Von Wafer	37	37	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.12	8	2	6	18.5	16.2	2.32	16.4	14.9	1.50
Kyle Lowry	46	46	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	4	2	16.9	17.5	-0.63	14.7	16.5	-1.80
Aaron Brooks	47	49	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.00	6	4	2	16.0	18.5	-2.52	15.3	15.8	-0.56
Luis Scola	51	49	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	11	-12	17.5	16.8	0.75	16.4	14.4	1.97
Dikembe Mutombo	13	12	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.17	-6	16	-22	17.9	17.1	0.86	18.6	15.1	3.53
Shane Battier	60	58	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.13	-5	15	-20	16.4	18.9	-2.44	15.2	16.1	-0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.8,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 75, IND 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.87,0.84,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.8%
PHX 92, MIN 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.73,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
CHI 91, CLE 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.73,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.71,0.82,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%