NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	92		Excitement	5.2 [772]		MVP	Anthony Peeler (MIN): +10.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	107		Comeback	1.3 [953]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (PHX): -8.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	21	55%	0.11	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	7	64%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dan Majerle	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Crispin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Rodney Rogers	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	6	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	11	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Tony Delk	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	40%	-0.06	1	0.00	4	75%	0.01
John Wallace	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	4	40%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	14	48%	-0.00	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.00	0.01	8	94%	0.17	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	20	63%	0.11	3	-0.10	12	92%	0.03
Dean Garrett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
William Avery	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	13	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	12	61%	0.01	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	11	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	0.03	14	50%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.8	33.2	19.7	24.3	2.6	33.2	141.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +11.9%

MIN +12.2%

MIN +12.0%

MIN +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIN	NBA	PHX	MIN	NBA
this game	15.5	14.3	15.6	94.8	111.5	102.3
season	15.1	15.0		101.0	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.8		103.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.7	17.7	17.2	12.9	15.5
MIN	13.0	13.6	15.5	15.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Voskuhl	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-17	19	6.5	15.9	-9.39	17.0	14.2	2.75
Joe Crispin	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-17	19	6.5	15.9	-9.39	17.0	14.2	2.75
Bo Outlaw	45	43	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-17	19	16.7	14.5	2.25	14.7	14.1	0.58
Dan Majerle	26	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.07	-7	-8	1	14.0	16.0	-2.00	13.8	14.5	-0.77
John Wallace	27	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.08	-8	-7	-1	13.1	16.4	-3.37	12.7	15.0	-2.27
Anfernee Hardaway	55	55	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.08	-3	-12	9	16.4	14.3	2.11	14.3	14.3	0.03
Jake Tsakalidis	69	69	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-10	5	15.7	15.0	0.76	14.6	13.7	0.93
Tom Gugliotta	25	24	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-11	7	16.6	15.1	1.53	16.2	13.7	2.50
Tony Delk	39	37	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-9	3	15.4	15.6	-0.20	14.6	14.1	0.51
Rodney Rogers	19	21	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.01	-14	-1	-13	16.4	15.3	1.14	13.5	14.6	-1.10
Shawn Marion	86	86	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.01	-15	0	-15	15.8	12.9	2.93	14.2	15.2	-0.97
Stephon Marbury	86	86	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.05	-19	4	-23	15.3	16.7	-1.38	14.1	16.3	-2.20

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Peeler	60	61	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.01	19	-4	23	14.1	14.6	-0.49	15.6	15.4	0.14
Wally Szczerbiak	88	90	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.03	18	-3	21	14.1	17.4	-3.32	15.6	14.9	0.70
Kevin Garnett	83	82	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.12	20	-5	25	13.9	17.0	-3.08	15.9	13.3	2.57
Chauncey Billups	81	79	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	1	13	14.0	15.9	-1.90	15.6	15.3	0.28
Joe Smith	68	67	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.12	13	2	11	14.0	15.1	-1.04	15.8	14.9	0.88
Rasho Nesterovic	66	68	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.11	4	11	-7	14.8	13.4	1.36	15.7	15.1	0.57
Felipe Lopez	20	21	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	15	-15	16.3	13.8	2.55	16.8	15.1	1.66
Dean Garrett	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	18	-21	19.5	14.2	5.28	6.0	15.7	-9.71
William Avery	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	17.0	14.2	2.75	6.5	15.9	-9.39
Loren Woods	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	18	-21	19.5	14.2	5.28	6.0	15.7	-9.71
Sam Mitchell	7	9	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	20	-25	16.9	14.1	2.72	12.4	15.8	-3.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.73,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 91, CLE 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.73,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.71,0.82,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.4%
NJN 83, POR 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.2%
ORL 83, HOU 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.8,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.5%