NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	83		Excitement	5.1 [790]		MVP	Rudy Fernandez (POR): +12.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	93		Comeback	1.1 [1234]		LVP	Joel Przybilla (POR): -17.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.02	7	29%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.10	25	55%	0.02	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.04	0.04	7	71%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.00	6	40%	0.03	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00
Josh Boone	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	7	43%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.04	-0.05	0.06	17	49%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Terrence Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	7	29%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.03	0.02	6	100%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	62%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Greg Oden	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.04	0.03	11	67%	0.11	4	-0.08	5	80%	-0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	43%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	62%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	13	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	54%	0.05	3	-0.10	4	50%	0.01
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.00	3	25%	-0.02	5	-0.15	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	28.2	15.4	23.4	2.5	34.3	128.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +58.7%

NJN -3.8%

POR +6.9%

NJN -11.8%

NJN -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	POR	NBA	NJN	POR	NBA
this game	16.9	17.2	15.3	97.6	110.7	106.0
season	15.9	16.7		98.7	108.8
opponent	15.6	15.0		106.3	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.0	16.1	19.4	15.3	16.9
POR	19.0	16.6	16.6	16.7	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Boone	35	37	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.09	1	-11	12	15.0	18.1	-3.11	18.6	16.1	2.54
Devin Harris	44	45	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.08	0	-10	10	15.8	18.0	-2.11	16.8	17.7	-0.97
Trenton Hassell	58	58	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-13	16	16.6	17.3	-0.70	17.1	17.6	-0.51
Sean Williams	26	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	-6	2	18.4	16.2	2.25	15.7	17.9	-2.14
Chris Douglas-Roberts	66	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.18	-2	-8	6	16.9	16.6	0.29	17.3	16.9	0.36
Courtney Lee	19	19	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-2	-6	16.6	16.9	-0.29	16.9	17.3	-0.36
Rafer Alston	50	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-5	0	17.0	16.7	0.25	17.1	17.4	-0.38
Terrence Williams	33	31	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	0	-10	17.9	16.2	1.72	17.6	17.0	0.66
Bobby Simmons	25	25	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	4	-18	16.7	16.9	-0.20	17.5	17.1	0.36
Brook Lopez	69	67	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.18	-11	1	-12	17.5	14.1	3.44	17.3	17.1	0.21

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	46	45	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.15	17	-7	24	16.8	17.8	-0.98	17.4	16.2	1.20
LaMarcus Aldridge	57	60	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.06	11	-1	12	17.6	16.4	1.26	17.4	15.6	1.73
Rudy Fernandez	46	48	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.13	5	5	0	16.4	18.2	-1.75	15.8	18.2	-2.45
Dante Cunningham	31	29	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	7	-4	17.6	17.0	0.56	16.8	16.9	-0.15
Brandon Roy	69	68	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	8	-6	17.4	16.4	1.01	16.8	16.9	-0.10
Joel Przybilla	32	31	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	4	2	16.9	17.4	-0.47	16.8	16.9	-0.13
Greg Oden	42	44	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	8	-6	17.7	16.7	1.02	17.6	16.0	1.61
Martell Webster	43	43	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	6	-2	18.0	16.4	1.54	17.2	16.5	0.76
Steve Blake	45	46	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	11	-12	17.0	17.5	-0.44	16.0	17.9	-1.87
Jerryd Bayless	9	11	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.02	1	9	-8	14.4	17.6	-3.12	16.1	17.0	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 92, NJN 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,1,1	95.5%
PHX 92, MIN 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.73,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
ORL 100, PHX 121	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.8,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%