NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	91		Excitement	5.5 [741]		MVP	Larry Hughes (CLE): +12.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	102		Comeback	1.2 [1143]		LVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): -13.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.02	7	83%	0.16	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Darius Songaila	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	7	71%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	16	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	11	54%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Kirk Hinrich	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	17	41%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	15	50%	0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	12	17%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	6	14%	-0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.02	-0.02	12	66%	0.17	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	10	71%	0.14	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.02	9	67%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	25	52%	0.12	2	-0.06	12	67%	-0.03
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	11	45%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	5	17%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	1.8	28.1	14.6	25.0	1.8	26.3	125.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +39.7%

CLE +13.8%

CHI -5.5%

CHI -0.1%

CLE +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CLE	NBA	CHI	CLE	NBA
this game	14.9	15.9	15.6	97.8	108.5	104.4
season	14.4	16.2		102.6	105.6
opponent	15.5	16.1		103.9	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.2	15.6	15.1	13.6	14.9
CLE	14.8	15.7	14.9	18.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	6	6	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-9	7	17.5	14.7	2.78	16.7	15.8	0.83
Andres Nocioni	52	55	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-8	5	15.1	14.7	0.39	16.3	15.4	0.87
Kirk Hinrich	77	79	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.14	0	-11	11	14.8	15.6	-0.87	16.4	13.5	2.89
Darius Songaila	39	42	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.18	-1	-10	9	14.4	15.3	-0.89	16.6	15.3	1.35
Tyson Chandler	56	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-5	-1	13.8	16.5	-2.67	15.4	16.5	-1.10
Luol Deng	76	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.18	-8	-3	-5	14.8	15.4	-0.62	15.7	16.8	-1.09
Ben Gordon	40	39	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.03	-13	2	-15	15.6	14.4	1.18	14.7	16.7	-2.01
Michael Sweetney	50	48	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.04	-13	2	-15	16.2	13.4	2.76	15.6	16.2	-0.63
Chris Duhon	69	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	-2	-7	14.7	15.5	-0.86	16.0	15.5	0.53

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Gooden	67	66	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.12	13	-2	15	16.1	15.4	0.73	15.2	14.2	1.01
LeBron James	88	87	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.09	14	-3	17	15.9	15.7	0.24	15.0	13.3	1.68
Larry Hughes	79	78	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	-2	15	15.6	17.6	-2.03	15.3	13.1	2.19
Damon Jones	43	43	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	9	-7	15.7	16.0	-0.32	14.3	15.4	-1.16
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	57	56	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.09	6	5	1	15.3	16.8	-1.56	15.0	14.7	0.33
Eric Snow	54	53	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.02	7	4	3	16.1	15.6	0.47	15.2	14.5	0.62
Alan Henderson	23	22	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.04	4	7	-3	17.9	15.2	2.67	14.7	15.0	-0.23
Donyell Marshall	41	42	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.10	-1	12	-13	15.3	16.4	-1.11	14.4	15.4	-1.00
Ira Newble	18	18	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.12	-3	14	-17	17.1	15.6	1.44	13.6	15.2	-1.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.73,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.71,0.82,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 92, MIN 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.73,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
ORL 100, PHX 121	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.8,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
LAL 98, POR 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.82,0.87,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1	94.5%