NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	75		Excitement	4.8 [873]		MVP	Ty Lawson (IND): +10.8%
Indiana Pacers	91		Comeback	1.1 [1304]		LVP	Ish Smith (PHI): -17.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Canaan	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.02	14	54%	0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sonny Weems	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Hollis Thompson	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	13	54%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.03	12	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.00
TJ McConnell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.01	0.02	5	57%	0.02	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
Carl Landry	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	0.00	5	33%	-0.04	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Ish Smith	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.02	-0.03	15	13%	-0.17	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.05	-0.02	3	100%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.01	8	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	9	56%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	2	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Solomon Hill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	8	71%	0.07	4	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	12	54%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	12	35%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Paul George	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.03	0.03	16	39%	-0.07	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.5	26.4	15.6	26.1	0.8	32.5	125.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +31.5%

IND +6.4%

IND +8.2%

IND +1.2%

IND +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	IND	NBA	PHI	IND	NBA
this game	15.5	15.8	14.9	81.5	98.9	105.1
season	14.8	14.6		97.7	103.2
opponent	14.9	14.2		101.6	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.0	15.6	15.3	16.3	15.5
IND	14.4	13.7	18.2	17.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nerlens Noel	47	47	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-16	16	17.0	14.0	3.09	15.4	16.1	-0.66
Hollis Thompson	61	61	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	-12	8	16.1	14.4	1.78	16.0	15.3	0.77
Jerami Grant	64	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	-9	2	15.7	15.1	0.66	16.4	14.3	2.08
TJ McConnell	41	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-11	6	14.1	16.7	-2.54	16.3	15.3	0.95
Isaiah Canaan	56	57	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	-8	0	16.2	14.5	1.65	15.7	15.8	-0.09
Sonny Weems	33	32	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-9	2	15.0	15.8	-0.88	15.3	16.0	-0.75
Carl Landry	43	43	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-11	6	14.1	16.8	-2.75	16.4	15.2	1.13
Ish Smith	59	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.10	-14	-2	-12	15.8	15.0	0.88	15.6	16.1	-0.50
Nik Stauskas	31	31	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.04	-12	-4	-8	14.4	16.1	-1.78	15.3	16.0	-0.77
Elton Brand	25	24	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.05	-18	2	-20	15.6	15.5	0.04	13.9	16.4	-2.51

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Hill	32	33	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	4	8	14.2	16.6	-2.33	16.8	14.8	2.05
George Hill	51	50	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.15	18	-2	20	15.2	16.5	-1.29	15.5	15.6	-0.16
Monta Ellis	64	62	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.04	13	3	10	15.8	15.7	0.08	15.3	16.0	-0.69
Myles Turner	49	51	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	5	6	15.4	16.2	-0.78	16.2	14.7	1.53
CJ Miles	33	34	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.04	7	9	-2	14.8	16.3	-1.44	16.8	14.8	2.00
Paul George	67	67	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.00	8	8	0	16.3	14.2	2.10	14.6	18.0	-3.39
Ty Lawson	28	30	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	13	-10	15.7	15.8	-0.08	16.0	15.3	0.69
Rodney Stuckey	33	33	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	17	-18	16.4	15.4	1.02	16.2	15.2	1.06
Lavoy Allen	35	34	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	17	-18	16.5	15.4	1.11	15.8	15.4	0.41
Ian Mahinmi	60	59	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	12	-8	16.6	14.2	2.33	14.8	16.8	-2.05
Solomon Hill	8	7	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.13	6	10	-4	15.0	15.8	-0.85	9.3	16.0	-6.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.87,0.84,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 88, MIN 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
SAC 101, SAS 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.55,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
CHI 109, DEN 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.96,1	94.9%