NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	88		Excitement	4.6 [884]		MVP	Craig Smith (MIN): +8.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	104		Comeback	1.1 [568]		LVP	Willie Green (PHI): -14.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.01	0.05	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Kevin Ollie	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.02	3	100%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Andre Miller	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.01	12	60%	0.05	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Lou Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.01	-0.04	11	35%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Rodney Carney	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	16	41%	-0.05	0	0.00	9	44%	-0.07
Willie Green	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	10	30%	-0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.00	-0.04	8	58%	0.09	1	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	14	63%	0.14	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.02	0.04	15	62%	0.07	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.01	0.04	6	83%	0.07	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	8	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	83%	0.09	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	15	42%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	8	22%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	30.2	15.6	25.6	2.4	33.5	134.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +41.7%

MIN +4.6%

MIN +13.8%

PHI -11.5%

MIN +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIN	NBA	PHI	MIN	NBA
this game	15.2	16.3	15.4	95.7	114.3	105.7
season	15.2	15.9		104.0	102.2
opponent	15.0	16.2		109.6	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.4	15.8	15.7	12.6	15.2
MIN	16.0	14.8	20.4	14.6	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Amundson	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-15	14	9.7	15.4	-5.74	18.0	16.2	1.80
Kevin Ollie	41	39	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-18	20	11.8	18.0	-6.20	14.1	17.9	-3.74
Rodney Carney	24	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.07	-4	-12	8	12.0	16.3	-4.30	13.7	17.2	-3.47
Reggie Evans	34	35	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.17	2	-18	20	13.0	16.5	-3.47	16.8	15.9	0.82
Jason Smith	26	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.09	-7	-9	2	14.2	15.6	-1.48	15.5	16.6	-1.02
Lou Williams	52	50	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	-9	2	13.7	17.1	-3.37	14.9	17.9	-2.94
Thaddeus Young	62	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-9	2	15.5	14.5	1.02	16.6	15.6	0.99
Willie Green	32	33	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	-4	-8	18.0	13.7	4.27	18.0	15.3	2.68
Andre Miller	59	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.01	-15	-1	-14	17.4	11.3	6.06	17.8	13.3	4.56
Andre Iguodala	68	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.10	-12	-4	-8	16.3	12.0	4.30	17.2	13.7	3.47
Samuel Dalembert	59	57	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.07	-19	3	-22	16.9	12.2	4.64	15.8	17.0	-1.13

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sebastian Telfair	64	66	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.08	15	1	14	17.0	14.4	2.64	16.6	11.6	5.02
Al Jefferson	53	55	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.09	14	2	12	17.3	14.8	2.49	16.7	13.1	3.62
Ryan Gomes	54	53	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	2	12	17.1	15.0	2.13	15.7	14.6	1.13
Rashad McCants	59	60	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.02	11	5	6	15.1	18.4	-3.30	14.0	17.5	-3.45
Marko Jaric	55	56	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.02	11	5	6	15.0	18.2	-3.29	13.6	17.7	-4.07
Craig Smith	58	59	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.02	9	7	2	15.0	18.5	-3.44	13.9	17.6	-3.68
Corey Brewer	32	32	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	11	-6	18.4	15.1	3.30	17.5	14.0	3.45
Randy Foye	63	62	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	10	-4	16.6	15.5	1.10	15.1	15.4	-0.22
Antoine Walker	17	17	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	21	-26	14.5	16.7	-2.13	13.6	15.6	-2.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 75, IND 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.87,0.84,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.5%
CLE 90, DET 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
BKN 109, MIN 129	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%