NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	109		Excitement	7.2 [392]		MVP	Matt Barnes (PHX): +24.4%
Phoenix Suns	114		Comeback	4.9 [270]		LVP	Aaron Brooks (HOU): -13.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Von Wafer	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21	0.10	0.09	-0.01	10	85%	0.26	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.15	0.16	0.01	0.02	20	64%	0.15	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Shane Battier	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.02	9	78%	0.17	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Hayes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	18	51%	0.01	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.02
Luis Scola	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	11	41%	-0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24	0.24	0.12	0.14	0.02	7	89%	0.26	1	-0.01	4	50%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.05	-0.00	15	66%	0.20	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.02
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.05	0.01	13	79%	0.25	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	4	58%	0.11	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Jason Richardson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	15	55%	0.10	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	17	49%	0.09	3	-0.09	11	55%	-0.06
Robin Lopez	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alando Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	3.7	30.8	18.7	26.0	2.7	36.8	143.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +29.2%

PHX +8.8%

PHX +3.0%

PHX +10.2%

HOU -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHX	NBA	HOU	PHX	NBA
this game	15.8	13.6	15.5	111.2	116.3	106.4
season	16.3	14.1		105.9	112.1
opponent	15.5	15.2		109.9	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	18.8	15.8	14.0	14.6	15.8
PHX	11.2	13.6	14.8	14.8	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	10	11	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-5	5	16.9	15.6	1.27	13.8	13.6	0.21
Brent Barry	26	25	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-5	5	15.5	15.9	-0.40	15.5	13.0	2.48
Aaron Brooks	64	64	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.21	7	-12	19	15.3	16.5	-1.19	13.3	14.3	-0.97
Von Wafer	39	38	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-4	3	14.8	16.4	-1.64	13.0	14.0	-1.08
Charles Hayes	4	5	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.08	-3	-2	-1	15.5	15.8	-0.27	17.0	13.5	3.55
Shane Battier	85	84	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-6	7	15.7	16.3	-0.64	13.1	16.6	-3.51
Yao Ming	82	81	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-7	9	15.5	17.1	-1.56	13.5	14.3	-0.80
Kyle Lowry	34	34	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.14	-12	7	-19	16.5	15.3	1.19	14.3	13.3	0.97
Luis Scola	67	67	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.34	-11	6	-17	16.8	13.5	3.27	13.3	14.4	-1.15
Metta World Peace	79	81	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.54	-8	3	-11	15.7	16.1	-0.37	14.1	11.4	2.69

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	78	80	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.38	18	-13	31	13.2	15.1	-1.91	16.1	14.3	1.81
Grant Hill	79	80	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.41	9	-4	13	13.6	13.6	0.00	15.8	15.7	0.11
Lou Amundson	32	31	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.03	19	-14	33	13.4	13.8	-0.38	16.1	15.6	0.45
Matt Barnes	68	67	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.42	1	4	-3	13.7	13.4	0.38	15.7	15.8	-0.03
Jared Dudley	44	45	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.34	2	3	-1	13.9	13.4	0.54	14.9	16.5	-1.56
Shaquille O'Neal	78	81	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	4	-3	13.4	14.4	-0.96	16.0	14.7	1.27
Robin Lopez	3	1	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.02	-2	7	-9	9.0	13.8	-4.78	8.0	15.8	-7.84
Jason Richardson	71	72	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.16	2	3	-1	13.1	15.0	-1.94	16.7	13.1	3.59
Stromile Swift	10	9	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	10	-15	17.4	13.2	4.20	13.7	16.0	-2.30
Alando Tucker	7	6	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.05	-7	12	-19	16.0	13.5	2.55	10.3	16.1	-5.78
Goran Dragic	20	18	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	-0.03	-13	18	-31	15.1	13.2	1.91	14.3	16.1	-1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.38,0.29,0.18,0.27,0.47,0.65,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 108, WAS 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.82,0.67,0.61,0.48,0.35,0.26,0.31,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.59,0.85,0.83,0.96,0.93,0.99,0.91,1	91.4%
WAS 94, CLE 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.43,0.51,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.59,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.91,0.98,1	90.9%
SAC 112, TOR 118	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.67,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.92,1	90.7%