NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	108		Excitement	7.5 [351]		MVP	John Wall (WAS): +27.8%
Washington Wizards	116		Comeback	5.9 [537]		LVP	Otto Porter (WAS): -9.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	8	71%	0.15	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
TJ McConnell	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.04	-0.02	7	57%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	18	58%	0.13	2	-0.04	7	57%	-0.02
Isaiah Canaan	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	12	52%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Nik Stauskas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	11	43%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Nerlens Noel	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	8	65%	0.09	2	-0.09	1	0%	-0.02
Jerami Grant	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.03	0.03	11	54%	0.06	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Richaun Holmes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.04	-0.00	5	30%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	9	45%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wall	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.16,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.28	0.28	0.14	0.16	0.02	26	58%	0.32	2	-0.04	12	75%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.12	-0.00	14	55%	0.22	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	3	80%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Markieff Morris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	10	67%	0.15	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	87%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	20	38%	-0.08	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	10	50%	0.01	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	2.5	30.3	14.7	30.2	3.4	37.5	147.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -6.0%

WAS +23.5%

WAS +28.7%

PHI -1.6%

WAS +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	WAS	NBA	PHI	WAS	NBA
this game	14.9	13.9	14.9	108.0	116.0	105.1
season	14.8	13.8		97.7	104.1
opponent	15.1	14.2		104.6	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.7	16.0	13.2	13.7	14.9
WAS	12.1	14.0	15.6	14.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richaun Holmes	32	29	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.13	-1	-7	6	16.0	14.3	1.66	12.1	14.7	-2.62
Nik Stauskas	66	65	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-11	14	14.3	16.0	-1.71	14.7	12.5	2.27
TJ McConnell	36	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.13	-11	3	-14	16.7	13.8	2.94	11.3	15.4	-4.14
Jerami Grant	74	75	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.14	-3	-5	2	15.0	14.4	0.60	13.5	15.2	-1.69
Isaiah Canaan	66	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-10	12	14.4	15.8	-1.44	14.6	12.5	2.10
Carl Landry	37	37	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	-1	-6	15.7	14.4	1.32	13.9	13.9	-0.02
Nerlens Noel	53	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-7	6	13.5	16.4	-2.85	14.8	12.9	1.85
Ish Smith	69	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.32	-5	-3	-2	13.9	17.0	-3.04	15.1	11.4	3.64
Robert Covington	67	66	-0.66	0.15	-0.81	-0.16	-17	9	-26	15.8	13.0	2.75	13.3	15.1	-1.75

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	85	84	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.28	8	0	8	14.6	10.3	4.23	14.2	18.1	-3.87
John Wall	87	87	0.48	0.01	0.47	0.25	8	0	8	14.4	10.7	3.72	14.3	18.7	-4.39
Markieff Morris	80	81	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.28	7	1	6	13.5	15.6	-2.09	15.0	14.5	0.49
Garrett Temple	57	58	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.36	1	7	-6	13.8	14.0	-0.20	14.7	15.0	-0.31
Otto Porter	52	52	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	7	-6	15.0	12.8	2.15	15.4	14.3	1.03
Ramon Sessions	39	39	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.03	7	1	6	12.0	15.2	-3.16	15.8	14.3	1.52
Bradley Beal	65	64	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.04	7	1	6	13.7	14.4	-0.68	14.8	15.0	-0.20
JJ Hickson	11	11	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	6	-4	10.5	14.4	-3.91	19.7	14.3	5.46
Jared Dudley	24	24	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	9	-10	14.7	13.7	0.97	14.5	15.0	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.82,0.67,0.61,0.48,0.35,0.26,0.31,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.59,0.85,0.83,0.96,0.93,0.99,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 85, POR 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.79,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.69,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.94,0.98,0.99,1	91.6%
HOU 109, PHX 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.38,0.29,0.18,0.27,0.47,0.65,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.99,1	91.4%
CHH 89, ORL 96	0.5,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.97,0.96,1,1	90.8%