NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	85		Excitement	6.1 [551]		MVP	Chris Mullin (IND): +13.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	93		Comeback	2.9 [421]		LVP	Rik Smits (IND): -20.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mullin	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.04	-0.00	9	78%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	2	83%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Rose	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	11	41%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Pope	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	7	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02
Mark Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	10	53%	-0.06	1	-0.04	10	70%	-0.04
Dale Davis	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	11	37%	-0.08	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.06
Antonio Davis	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	9	32%	-0.08	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Rik Smits	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.12	-0.08	0.01	11	47%	-0.03	4	-0.17	8	75%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.00	8	78%	0.18	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.06	-0.01	9	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	64%	0.05	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	11	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rick Brunson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	72%	0.06	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	15	44%	0.02	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	32.1	15.4	26.9	0.8	30.2	134.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +38.0%

POR +10.8%

POR +3.6%

IND -2.8%

POR +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	POR	NBA	IND	POR	NBA
this game	16.4	16.9	15.6	97.7	108.1	102.5
season	16.0	15.9		105.3	101.9
opponent	15.4	16.1		100.6	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.3	17.3	14.6	16.3	16.4
POR	16.1	17.9	16.7	17.1	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mullin	46	45	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.02	6	-14	20	15.7	17.1	-1.40	17.6	16.2	1.43
Dale Davis	48	49	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.20	7	-15	22	15.1	17.9	-2.79	18.5	14.9	3.65
Mark Jackson	54	52	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-7	6	15.6	17.6	-2.01	17.4	16.3	1.07
Mark Pope	24	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.06	-2	-6	4	17.1	16.1	1.00	13.7	18.2	-4.43
Rik Smits	50	50	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-8	8	17.2	15.2	2.03	18.6	14.6	4.06
Reggie Miller	69	70	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-1	-6	15.8	18.5	-2.70	16.8	17.7	-0.99
Travis Best	33	34	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-1	-6	17.6	15.6	2.01	16.3	17.4	-1.07
Fred Hoiberg	27	26	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.29	-5	-3	-2	16.8	16.1	0.66	16.9	17.0	-0.08
Jalen Rose	35	34	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.15	-12	4	-16	17.3	15.7	1.51	15.6	17.8	-2.29
Antonio Davis	49	46	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.15	-19	11	-30	16.9	15.7	1.15	15.8	18.3	-2.54

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	35	35	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.24	19	-11	30	17.5	16.5	0.97	17.3	15.7	1.55
Rasheed Wallace	43	44	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.40	10	-2	12	16.7	17.2	-0.49	16.0	16.7	-0.63
Isaiah Rider	79	79	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.15	14	-6	20	16.9	17.4	-0.53	16.6	13.6	3.01
Kenny Anderson	56	55	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.29	8	0	8	16.4	17.9	-1.47	17.2	14.9	2.34
Stacey Augmon	65	63	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.40	-5	13	-18	16.4	18.6	-2.22	15.9	17.5	-1.64
Arvydas Sabonis	42	44	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.10	7	1	6	18.2	15.7	2.44	17.7	15.0	2.73
Rick Brunson	1	2	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.00	1	7	-6	23.0	16.9	6.13	1.0	16.7	-15.72
Alvin Williams	40	42	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	11	-14	17.0	16.9	0.06	14.5	18.1	-3.59
Gary Trent	50	52	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.06	-2	10	-12	17.4	16.4	1.00	16.7	15.8	0.98
Kelvin Cato	19	19	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	-0.01	-9	17	-26	15.7	17.3	-1.55	14.7	16.8	-2.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.79,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.69,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.94,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 99, BOS 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.76,0.78,0.86,0.78,0.84,0.74,1	91.9%
PHI 108, WAS 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.82,0.67,0.61,0.48,0.35,0.26,0.31,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.59,0.85,0.83,0.96,0.93,0.99,0.91,1	91.6%
NJN 78, SAS 79	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.91,1	91.2%