NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	114		Excitement	7.6 [316]		MVP	Hakim Warrick (MEM): +14.2%
Golden State Warriors	109		Comeback	7.6 [87]		LVP	Monta Ellis (GSW): -14.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakim Warrick	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.04	0.00	9	84%	0.20	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Hamed Haddadi	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	3	83%	0.12	1	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Rudy Gay	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.05	18	49%	0.14	4	-0.10	7	71%	-0.01
O.J. Mayo	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	16	60%	0.09	3	-0.08	8	75%	-0.01
Mike Conley	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	0.06	-0.04	0.02	16	58%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Quinton Ross	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Darko Milicic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Buckner	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0.01	6	70%	0.09	4	-0.14	8	75%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.02	22	53%	0.08	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Rob Kurz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	70%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.06	0.02	10	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	64%	0.09	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.04
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.05	4	70%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.00	4	80%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	10	40%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.10	-0.01	29	46%	-0.01	5	-0.13	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.5	28.8	14.8	29.2	2.5	42.6	145.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +47.0%

GSW -11.5%

MEM +26.9%

GSW -20.1%

MEM +7.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	GSW	NBA	MEM	GSW	NBA
this game	14.6	13.4	15.5	110.7	105.8	106.4
season	16.1	13.8		101.7	107.3
opponent	15.0	15.3		111.2	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.0	17.1	14.9	12.0	14.6
GSW	14.4	14.9	12.3	12.4	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hamed Haddadi	21	20	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.40	15	-10	25	14.3	14.6	-0.35	14.5	13.1	1.37
O.J. Mayo	91	91	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.29	18	-13	31	14.1	17.9	-3.80	13.3	14.0	-0.68
Marko Jaric	22	22	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.06	18	-13	31	14.7	14.5	0.21	17.6	12.2	5.39
Quinton Ross	43	41	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.36	5	0	5	13.2	15.5	-2.32	12.5	14.0	-1.47
Rudy Gay	91	91	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.45	0	5	-5	14.2	17.0	-2.76	13.3	14.0	-0.68
Greg Buckner	24	24	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.11	1	4	-3	12.3	15.2	-2.91	13.5	13.4	0.13
Darko Milicic	20	21	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	1	3	16.3	14.1	2.22	15.4	12.9	2.55
Darrell Arthur	27	28	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.06	-4	9	-13	15.3	14.3	1.04	14.3	13.1	1.27
Mike Conley	81	81	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.30	-13	18	-31	14.5	14.7	-0.21	12.2	17.6	-5.39
Hakim Warrick	39	40	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.12	-8	13	-21	16.8	13.2	3.55	12.8	13.8	-0.94
Marc Gasol	56	56	-0.44	0.94	-1.39	-0.12	-11	16	-27	15.4	13.6	1.74	13.1	13.8	-0.75

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rob Kurz	27	27	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.03	5	-10	15	12.7	13.6	-0.94	15.5	14.2	1.29
Anthony Randolph	80	80	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.20	8	-13	21	13.2	14.1	-0.94	15.7	10.7	4.98
CJ Watson	27	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	0	-5	13.0	13.5	-0.54	11.9	15.5	-3.53
Ronny Turiaf	56	56	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	1	-7	14.9	11.6	3.31	15.6	13.3	2.29
Jamal Crawford	87	88	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.40	3	-8	11	12.9	16.4	-3.52	14.8	13.3	1.44
Kelenna Azubuike	72	72	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.42	-4	-1	-3	12.7	14.9	-2.20	13.5	16.9	-3.39
Monta Ellis	92	93	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.38	-10	5	-15	13.6	12.1	1.46	14.3	16.7	-2.37
Anthony Morrow	74	73	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.36	-16	11	-27	14.0	11.9	2.04	14.2	15.5	-1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.88,0.86,0.77,0.6,0.46,0.46,0.25,0.07,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 105, ATL 99	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.31,0.21,0.16,0.08,0	91.8%
MIL 108, BOS 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.1,0.16,0.15,0	91.0%
BOS 99, TOR 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.87,0.89,0.75,0.67,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.47,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.08,0	90.4%