inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 99 Excitement7.4 [335] MVPKevin Garnett (BOS): +25.0%
Toronto Raptors 95 Comeback8.4 [92] LVPDeMar DeRozan (TOR): -18.9%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Garnett0.250,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.250.120.140.021866%0.342-0.095100%0.04
Leandro Barbosa0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.240.050.18-0.01870%0.323-0.08475%-0.01
Brandon Bass0.090,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.070.040.02667%0.0900.00367%-0.01
Courtney Lee0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.070.08-0.010.011160%0.0700.003100%0.01
Jason Collins0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Wilcox-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Avery Bradley-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01955%0.073-0.092100%0.02
Jeff Green-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.01644%-0.011-0.02667%-0.02
Jason Terry-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.00333%0.002-0.0700%0.00
Paul Pierce-0.110,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11-0.06-0.06-0.011141%-0.062-0.05786%0.04

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.070.040.011267%0.141-0.0300%0.00
Andrea Bargnani0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.04-0.01-0.001057%0.061-0.023100%0.01
John Lucas III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.010.000100%0.031-0.032100%0.01
Alan Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.040.00733%0.0100.001100%0.01
Jonas Valanciunas00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aaron Gray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.010.00167%0.032-0.044100%0.02
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.02-0.08-0.011263%0.174-0.21367%-0.02
Rudy Gay0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.04-0.012445%0.043-0.138100%0.05
DeMar DeRozan0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19-0.19-0.07-0.12-0.011635%-0.072-0.12560%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.61.835.814.827.81.836.2142.8
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +35.1%
BOS +3.6%
TOR -3.0%
BOS +14.7%
TOR -0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSTORNBABOSTORNBA
this game14.516.715.4106.5103.3104.1
season14.916.1101.2104.4
opponent15.316.2105.8101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS16.015.113.813.214.5
TOR16.817.616.915.616.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Garnett60600.87-0.371.250.4614-102414.614.20.4817.315.51.77
Paul Pierce72720.80-0.301.090.4213-92214.016.0-1.9916.816.30.49
Leandro Barbosa52530.61-0.110.720.2313-92214.214.7-0.4816.017.6-1.57
Jeff Green57540.53-0.030.560.385-1613.915.4-1.4715.618.2-2.64
Jason Terry49480.450.050.390.276-2814.314.6-0.2916.117.4-1.30
Chris Wilcox980.070.43-0.36-0.0231211.614.8-3.2215.216.8-1.57
Courtney Lee5955-0.070.57-0.650.04-48-1214.115.1-1.0317.715.22.41
Jason Collins1516-0.170.67-0.850.09-913-2215.914.21.6716.116.8-0.75
Avery Bradley5050-0.240.74-0.980.09-1115-2615.213.61.6017.016.30.78
Brandon Bass4244-0.350.85-1.19-0.05-1014-2416.013.22.7217.416.11.30

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terrence Ross89-0.01-0.490.48-0.010-4418.216.51.7116.314.32.07
Aaron Gray3535-0.04-0.460.430.02-2-2018.815.43.4116.413.33.06
Andrea Bargnani4546-0.05-0.450.41-0.102-6816.816.60.1413.615.3-1.78
Jonas Valanciunas44-0.09-0.410.32-0.00-3-1-217.716.61.1113.514.5-1.01
Kyle Lowry7474-0.11-0.390.27-0.358-122015.820.4-4.6115.012.22.83
DeMar DeRozan7777-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.26-1-3216.517.5-0.9314.215.8-1.63
Rudy Gay8281-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.361-5616.419.2-2.8214.414.9-0.52
John Lucas III1819-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.03-128-2020.415.84.6112.215.0-2.83
Amir Johnson6264-0.570.07-0.65-0.49-3-1-216.616.9-0.2714.813.80.97
Alan Anderson5556-0.630.13-0.75-0.33-106-1615.718.1-2.3413.915.3-1.39


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.87,0.89,0.75,0.67,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.47,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.08,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 85, DAL 810.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.55,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.53,0.4,0.34,0.15,0.07,0.05,0.17,091.2%
SAS 94, CLE 920.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.73,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.39,0.47,0.36,0.16,0.01,090.9%
BOS 89, DET 810.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.39,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.01,090.9%