NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	108		Excitement	8.1 [255]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +32.9%
Boston Celtics	100		Comeback	3.1 [301]		LVP	Kyrie Irving (BOS): -34.2%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.33	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.22,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33	0.13	0.21	0.01	22	65%	0.45	5	-0.12	13	85%	0.01
Malcolm Brogdon	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.12	0.11	0.00	10	79%	0.30	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.04
Matthew Dellavedova	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.11	0.05	0.07	0.01	10	60%	0.13	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Greg Monroe	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	0.00	5	71%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
John Henson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	83%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Snell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashad Vaughn	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	-0.31	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.22,-0.29,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.12	-0.18	0.01	17	42%	-0.11	5	-0.20	2	100%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.08	0.00	11	67%	0.20	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.02
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.01	12	62%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Abdel Nader	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Al Horford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.01	11	57%	0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Marcus Smart	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.03	-0.05	13	37%	0.03	3	-0.11	6	17%	-0.06
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	7	42%	-0.01	2	-0.12	5	40%	-0.04
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22,-0.28,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.34	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.01	25	33%	-0.24	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	34.1	14.5	25.5	2.4	31.2	135.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +35.3%

MIL +27.3%

BOS -18.1%

MIL +5.5%

MIL +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	BOS	NBA	MIL	BOS	NBA
this game	13.2	15.7	14.7	106.9	101.0	107.5
season	14.3	15.1		108.5	106.4
opponent	14.7	15.4		103.5	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	12.8	11.9	15.8	12.4	13.2
BOS	15.3	15.9	16.2	15.3	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malcolm Brogdon	89	87	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.29	10	-2	12	13.1	13.6	-0.48	15.4	17.3	-1.90
Matthew Dellavedova	54	54	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.33	8	0	8	13.4	12.8	0.61	15.6	15.7	-0.08
John Henson	38	36	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.34	7	1	6	13.1	13.2	-0.17	14.6	16.3	-1.70
Khris Middleton	90	89	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.24	10	-2	12	12.9	15.4	-2.47	16.0	12.4	3.63
Giannis Antetokounmpo	82	78	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.31	7	1	6	13.1	13.3	-0.19	14.9	18.5	-3.57
Greg Monroe	31	33	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.17	10	-2	12	14.1	12.7	1.35	17.2	14.9	2.36
Rashad Vaughn	7	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	8	-8	14.4	13.1	1.36	15.1	15.7	-0.56
Mirza Teletovic	22	22	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	8	-8	13.0	13.2	-0.14	16.6	15.4	1.19
Tony Snell	61	60	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	12	-16	13.1	13.2	-0.03	16.1	14.9	1.18
Thon Maker	31	29	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.06	-8	16	-24	12.7	13.4	-0.65	15.3	15.8	-0.46

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Theis	9	9	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-9	10	18.0	15.4	2.57	13.1	13.2	-0.05
Semi Ojeleye	22	22	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-8	8	17.5	15.2	2.30	14.2	12.9	1.31
Abdel Nader	23	21	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.09	-3	-5	2	17.3	15.2	2.08	13.6	13.0	0.52
Jaylen Brown	55	57	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-7	6	15.2	16.3	-1.09	14.8	11.0	3.78
Aron Baynes	32	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-2	-4	15.9	15.6	0.31	13.7	12.9	0.82
Kyrie Irving	81	82	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.19	-2	-6	4	15.7	15.4	0.27	13.3	12.7	0.52
Al Horford	71	74	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-9	10	15.1	17.0	-1.91	12.9	13.8	-0.85
Terry Rozier	56	57	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	3	-14	15.5	15.9	-0.42	12.6	13.9	-1.29
Marcus Smart	69	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.39	-4	-4	0	15.2	16.7	-1.48	12.4	14.9	-2.49
Jayson Tatum	77	79	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.25	-15	7	-22	15.6	15.7	-0.08	12.5	15.5	-2.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.1,0.16,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 84, SAC 79	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.65,0.59,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.81,0.7,0.54,0.39,0.31,0.11,0.16,0.08,0	93.7%
MIL 108, ORL 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.7,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.39,0.21,0.09,0.09,0	93.1%
NOK 111, NJN 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.16,0.16,0.09,0	92.0%