NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	105		Excitement	7.8 [257]		MVP	Baron Davis (CHH): +22.4%
Atlanta Hawks	99		Comeback	6.7 [265]		LVP	Chris Crawford (ATL): -17.7%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.16,0.29,0.32,0.2,0.2,0.22	0.12	0.11	0.01	13	78%	0.28	2	-0.06	10	60%	-0.09
P.J. Brown	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	0.00	8	65%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Tim James	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.04	0.02	6	93%	0.09	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Otis Thorpe	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	70%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Jamaal Magloire	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
David Wesley	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	13	47%	-0.00	1	-0.03	10	90%	0.06
Jamal Mashburn	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	15	39%	-0.06	2	-0.04	3	0%	-0.05
Elden Campbell	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	11	38%	-0.01	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.03	-0.01	16	78%	0.32	5	-0.24	4	50%	-0.04
Hanno Mottola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	87%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	23	52%	0.08	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
Dion Glover	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pepe Sanchez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	9	67%	0.14	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	10	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	0.01	8	52%	-0.09	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.06
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-0.03	8	20%	-0.11	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.5	32.5	14.0	28.2	2.5	29.5	134.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +18.5%

CHH +20.9%

ATL -7.7%

CHH +17.1%

CHH +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	ATL	NBA	CHH	ATL	NBA
this game	15.3	15.0	15.5	110.5	104.2	100.9
season	15.8	15.4		99.7	96.0
opponent	15.1	15.6		101.6	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	13.7	14.2	17.3	16.0	15.3
ATL	14.5	15.8	13.2	16.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elden Campbell	60	60	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.40	18	-12	30	15.3	15.2	0.18	16.4	12.6	3.85
P.J. Brown	77	78	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.47	9	-3	12	15.4	14.8	0.62	14.9	15.6	-0.75
Jamal Mashburn	80	79	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.39	10	-4	14	15.7	13.1	2.55	15.5	12.7	2.82
David Wesley	81	80	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.39	7	-1	8	14.8	17.9	-3.10	15.8	10.7	5.10
Baron Davis	79	80	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.44	1	5	-4	16.0	11.6	4.40	14.4	18.2	-3.76
Otis Thorpe	20	20	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.11	0	6	-6	14.3	15.5	-1.18	15.3	15.0	0.34
Tim James	10	10	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.12	-3	9	-12	14.4	15.4	-0.99	11.7	15.4	-3.72
Eddie Robinson	40	40	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.19	-1	7	-8	14.5	15.9	-1.40	14.3	15.5	-1.18
Jamaal Magloire	28	28	-0.40	0.90	-1.29	-0.07	-11	17	-28	15.0	15.4	-0.35	12.4	16.1	-3.74

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dion Glover	1	1	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.06	-1	-5	4	0.0	15.2	-15.19	20.0	15.2	4.77
Pepe Sanchez	11	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.09	-4	-2	-2	17.4	14.7	2.64	12.0	15.7	-3.71
DerMarr Johnson	13	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-4	2	15.2	15.0	0.14	13.2	15.6	-2.33
Chris Crawford	65	65	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.30	4	-10	14	14.2	16.9	-2.73	16.2	13.2	3.05
Alan Henderson	63	63	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	-2	-2	15.5	14.1	1.37	15.3	15.3	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	46	45	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-1	-4	15.6	14.5	1.08	15.9	14.7	1.19
Nazr Mohammed	49	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-5	4	14.5	15.6	-1.08	14.7	15.9	-1.19
Hanno Mottola	32	32	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.26	-2	-4	2	14.1	15.5	-1.37	15.3	15.3	-0.00
Toni Kukoc	69	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-3	0	14.8	15.8	-1.02	15.2	15.6	-0.43
Brevin Knight	42	44	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.22	-9	3	-12	16.9	13.6	3.27	15.3	15.2	0.11
Jason Terry	84	84	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.40	-3	-3	0	14.9	16.3	-1.40	15.3	15.4	-0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.31,0.21,0.16,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 114, GSW 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.88,0.86,0.77,0.6,0.46,0.46,0.25,0.07,0,0,0	91.8%
MIL 108, ORL 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.7,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.39,0.21,0.09,0.09,0	91.3%
HOU 103, WAS 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.53,0.36,0.16,0,0	91.2%