NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	74		Excitement	3.6 [1085]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +8.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	102		Comeback	4.6 [674]		LVP	Jason Terry (DAL): -13.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	-0.00	-0.06	7	60%	0.09	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	8	35%	0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Erick Dampier	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	62%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jose Juan Barea	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	7	29%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	4	55%	-0.02	1	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	23	39%	-0.01	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Brandon Bass	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	13	36%	-0.06	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	22	49%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.05	0.00	16	56%	0.10	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	-0.00	8	63%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	6	83%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	15	47%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarence Kinsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darnell Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	5	33%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	3.7	29.3	19.7	25.1	3.5	31.6	140.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +24.5%

DAL -0.9%

CLE +9.7%

CLE +15.5%

CLE +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	CLE	NBA	DAL	CLE	NBA
this game	14.7	16.7	15.5	80.4	110.9	106.4
season	15.6	16.9		108.9	110.6
opponent	15.2	15.4		101.0	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.7	14.1	15.3	14.4	14.7
CLE	15.3	18.6	16.0	16.9	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Carroll	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-26	24	15.4	14.6	0.79	19.0	16.4	2.57
Gerald Green	22	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.17	-6	-22	16	14.5	14.7	-0.14	18.6	16.1	2.55
James Singleton	20	19	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.18	-7	-21	14	14.8	14.6	0.19	18.4	16.2	2.16
Brandon Bass	11	11	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.21	-9	-19	10	14.0	14.7	-0.74	13.5	17.1	-3.63
Jose Juan Barea	51	49	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.44	-19	-9	-10	14.7	14.5	0.21	16.2	17.2	-1.00
Erick Dampier	32	34	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-26	24	14.9	14.5	0.44	16.6	16.7	-0.15
Ryan Hollins	49	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.19	-17	-11	-6	14.6	14.7	-0.09	17.5	15.8	1.67
Antoine Wright	60	60	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.01	-15	-13	-2	14.6	14.7	-0.15	16.3	17.3	-1.06
Jason Kidd	69	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.13	-20	-8	-12	14.5	15.0	-0.46	16.8	16.1	0.68
Dirk Nowitzki	72	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.14	-21	-7	-14	14.6	14.8	-0.19	16.2	18.4	-2.16
Jason Terry	66	68	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.17	-22	-6	-16	14.7	14.5	0.16	16.3	17.7	-1.49

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	61	60	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.03	15	13	2	16.1	17.8	-1.74	14.7	14.6	0.04
Mo Williams	70	69	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.17	21	7	14	16.8	16.1	0.68	14.6	14.8	-0.17
Delonte West	57	56	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.06	11	17	-6	16.1	17.5	-1.44	14.7	14.6	0.07
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	52	52	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.09	15	13	2	17.8	15.2	2.57	14.4	15.0	-0.57
Anderson Varejao	57	56	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.08	14	14	0	15.8	18.0	-2.18	14.8	14.4	0.39
Joe Smith	55	54	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.31	21	7	14	15.9	17.7	-1.76	14.5	14.8	-0.32
Daniel Gibson	48	49	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.42	20	8	12	16.6	16.7	-0.19	14.6	14.8	-0.22
Wally Szczerbiak	30	32	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.28	11	17	-6	16.7	16.6	0.12	14.2	14.9	-0.66
Sasha Pavlovic	9	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	24	-20	19.3	16.4	2.97	15.3	14.6	0.73
JJ Hickson	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	26	-24	19.0	16.4	2.57	15.4	14.6	0.79
Tarence Kinsey	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	26	-24	21.2	16.4	4.81	17.7	14.5	3.24
Darnell Jackson	9	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	24	-20	19.3	16.4	2.97	15.3	14.6	0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.28,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.82,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 77, MIN 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
POR 95, GSW 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.31,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.31,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.7,0.77,0.86,0.81,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
LAC 107, TOR 123	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%