NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	107		Excitement	3.9 [1033]		MVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): +21.9%
Toronto Raptors	123		Comeback	4.9 [314]		LVP	Terrence Ross (TOR): -9.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.02	0.00	15	67%	0.16	1	-0.00	9	89%	0.02
Chris Paul	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	16	61%	0.08	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	64%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Spencer Hawes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.05	5	90%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	11	52%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Wilcox	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.01	0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	8	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Jamal Crawford	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.03	-0.03	0.05	13	54%	-0.03	1	-0.02	11	91%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.17	0.05	-0.00	9	87%	0.24	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.03	-0.01	7	100%	0.17	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.01	0.03	9	67%	0.11	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	16	53%	0.08	0	0.00	13	92%	0.05
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.13	0.00	0.08	9	89%	0.08	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	7	69%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	9	61%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.05	4	8%	-0.07	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	3.0	36.2	16.5	34.2	2.8	27.4	146.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +29.9%

TOR +7.9%

TOR +12.3%

LAC -3.4%

TOR +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	TOR	NBA	LAC	TOR	NBA
this game	14.9	15.9	15.1	115.1	130.9	104.2
season	14.6	15.6		110.5	109.1
opponent	15.0	15.3		106.8	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.9	15.8	14.5	15.5	14.9
TOR	17.4	13.6	15.5	17.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Wilcox	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-20	24	12.0	15.1	-3.07	18.2	15.7	2.43
Glen Davis	8	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-19	22	14.2	15.0	-0.71	17.4	15.7	1.72
Spencer Hawes	31	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-12	8	14.3	15.2	-0.92	15.8	15.9	-0.11
Dahntay Jones	14	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-12	8	13.6	15.1	-1.57	16.4	15.8	0.60
DeAndre Jordan	68	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	-4	-8	15.2	14.0	1.29	16.2	15.1	1.08
Matt Barnes	58	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	-5	-6	14.7	15.2	-0.43	16.1	15.5	0.58
Austin Rivers	66	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	-6	-4	15.1	14.5	0.54	15.8	16.0	-0.20
Jamal Crawford	67	68	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.04	-15	-1	-14	14.8	15.2	-0.35	15.6	16.5	-0.89
Chris Paul	77	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.00	-16	0	-16	15.2	13.3	1.92	15.9	16.1	-0.20
Blake Griffin	71	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.03	-15	-1	-14	15.1	14.3	0.83	15.3	17.7	-2.38

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	58	57	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.17	25	-9	34	15.3	16.9	-1.57	14.7	15.3	-0.61
Amir Johnson	53	51	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	3	10	15.1	17.0	-1.92	15.0	14.7	0.30
DeMar DeRozan	62	63	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	6	4	15.8	16.1	-0.26	14.9	14.9	0.05
Kyle Lowry	72	74	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.10	9	7	2	16.0	15.6	0.40	15.5	12.7	2.79
James Johnson	36	37	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.15	15	1	14	15.7	16.0	-0.32	15.9	14.3	1.60
Terrence Ross	40	37	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.07	10	6	4	15.5	16.1	-0.60	15.7	14.4	1.33
Jonas Valanciunas	37	39	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	17	-18	16.5	15.5	1.07	14.9	14.9	0.08
Patrick Patterson	54	53	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.25	13	3	10	16.4	15.2	1.16	14.8	15.1	-0.30
Greg Stiemsma	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	20	-24	16.0	15.9	0.11	8.7	15.1	-6.44
Landry Fields	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	20	-24	16.0	15.9	0.11	8.7	15.1	-6.44
Tyler Hansbrough	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	20	-24	16.0	15.9	0.11	8.7	15.1	-6.44
Greivis Vasquez	46	45	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.02	-2	18	-20	16.9	14.9	2.00	14.0	15.7	-1.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 102, HOU 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.48,0.59,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
DAL 74, CLE 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.28,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.82,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
WAS 77, MIN 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%