NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	102		Excitement	4.0 [1053]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +18.1%
Houston Rockets	117		Comeback	5.3 [1005]		LVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (NYK): -10.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Beasley	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	-0.03	-0.07	23	59%	0.17	6	-0.12	5	40%	-0.03
Courtney Lee	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.02	0.01	11	71%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kyle O'Quinn	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	-0.00	0.08	9	77%	0.04	3	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Lance Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ron Baker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damyean Dotson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	8	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	12	41%	-0.03	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.16	0.03	0.01	27	58%	0.19	1	-0.01	10	80%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.01	14	57%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	-0.00	0.02	11	71%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	4	112%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.10	0.00	0.07	4	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Clint Capela	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	60%	0.04	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.08	12	33%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarik Black	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	12	23%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.3	25.5	14.7	27.0	1.6	29.2	127.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +23.6%

HOU +2.8%

HOU +3.7%

HOU +20.6%

NYK -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	HOU	NBA	NYK	HOU	NBA
this game	15.7	13.1	14.7	102.0	117.0	107.5
season	14.9	14.6		105.9	112.8
opponent	14.8	14.5		105.6	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.9	15.8	20.3	13.3	15.7
HOU	12.7	12.5	11.0	16.1	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ron Baker	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-12	9	12.0	15.8	-3.77	24.0	13.0	11.00
Damyean Dotson	22	19	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-13	11	16.4	15.5	0.86	14.0	12.9	1.10
Lance Thomas	24	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.21	-11	-4	-7	17.0	15.3	1.72	12.3	13.4	-1.08
Jarrett Jack	66	68	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.50	12	-27	39	15.4	16.3	-0.87	13.6	12.2	1.40
Willy Hernangomez	45	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.30	-17	2	-19	15.6	15.7	-0.12	12.3	13.8	-1.53
Tim Hardaway Jr.	79	80	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.36	3	-18	21	15.4	16.9	-1.48	13.6	11.0	2.58
Kyle O'Quinn	55	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.36	2	-17	19	15.7	15.6	0.12	13.8	12.3	1.53
Courtney Lee	67	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-10	5	15.6	15.8	-0.19	13.2	12.9	0.30
Frank Ntilikina	34	32	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.44	-27	12	-39	16.3	15.4	0.87	12.2	13.6	-1.40
Doug McDermott	30	31	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.32	-23	8	-31	16.4	15.4	1.01	10.7	14.2	-3.53
Michael Beasley	76	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-11	7	15.3	17.0	-1.72	13.4	12.3	1.08

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	65	67	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	2	11	12.0	15.3	-3.30	15.8	15.5	0.35
Clint Capela	63	62	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	6	3	13.1	13.1	0.05	15.5	16.0	-0.54
Luc Mbah a Moute	45	44	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.26	21	-6	27	12.7	13.4	-0.68	14.7	16.4	-1.72
Ryan Anderson	44	42	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.15	17	-2	19	12.2	13.8	-1.58	15.9	15.6	0.29
James Harden	75	73	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.25	2	13	-11	13.8	11.2	2.60	16.1	14.7	1.35
Eric Gordon	51	51	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.15	15	0	15	12.8	13.4	-0.62	16.4	14.9	1.51
PJ Tucker	56	58	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	17	-19	13.8	12.2	1.58	15.6	15.9	-0.29
Trevor Ariza	64	65	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.32	-6	21	-27	14.0	11.5	2.56	15.2	16.5	-1.31
Nene	30	30	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.16	10	5	5	12.6	13.3	-0.78	16.1	15.5	0.63
Tarik Black	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.12	-4	19	-23	15.3	12.9	2.34	15.6	15.7	-0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.48,0.59,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 107, TOR 123	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
WAS 77, MIN 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
DAL 74, CLE 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.28,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.82,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%