NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	98		Excitement	7.6 [297]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +24.7%
Washington Wizards	96		Comeback	1.9 [778]		LVP	Caron Butler (WAS): -14.6%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.25	0.12	0.12	-0.01	13	73%	0.26	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,0.03,-0.03,0.11	-0.02	0.12	-0.01	29	48%	0.22	3	-0.11	7	57%	-0.04
Walter Herrmann	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	71%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.05	0.00	8	50%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kwame Brown	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.06	5	-0.15	4	75%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	0.02	-0.12	0.01	9	59%	0.02	2	-0.14	4	75%	-0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	-0.04	-0.01	15	70%	0.18	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	7	68%	0.11	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	3	89%	0.09	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	13	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	9	47%	0.03	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0.01	12	47%	-0.03	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.03
Javaris Crittenton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	13	35%	-0.11	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.4	28.6	16.6	19.2	2.6	36.4	132.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +55.6%

WAS -7.6%

DET +12.8%

WAS -19.0%

DET +8.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	WAS	NBA	DET	WAS	NBA
this game	17.1	14.2	15.5	107.7	103.2	106.4
season	16.9	15.9		104.9	103.5
opponent	15.2	15.7		111.7	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.3	16.3	17.1	18.9	17.1
WAS	14.4	15.0	14.2	13.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	71	73	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.35	13	-11	24	17.2	17.1	0.05	14.4	13.4	0.95
Kwame Brown	47	49	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.52	5	-3	8	17.3	17.0	0.32	14.3	14.0	0.28
Rodney Stuckey	56	59	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.39	6	-4	10	17.5	16.6	0.88	14.8	13.2	1.60
Antonio McDyess	70	72	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.39	-2	4	-6	17.3	16.7	0.62	14.2	14.0	0.19
Tayshaun Prince	67	68	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.35	-3	5	-8	17.2	17.0	0.25	13.9	14.9	-0.94
Walter Herrmann	24	26	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	-3	8	17.0	17.2	-0.25	14.5	14.1	0.48
Amir Johnson	14	14	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	-2	6	15.0	17.5	-2.53	15.6	13.9	1.62
Will Bynum	35	34	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	6	-10	16.6	17.5	-0.88	13.2	14.8	-1.60
Jason Maxiell	51	50	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.07	-2	4	-6	17.4	16.8	0.57	13.8	14.7	-0.89
Arron Afflalo	20	20	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.13	-12	14	-26	17.1	17.2	-0.05	13.4	14.4	-0.95

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Young	48	46	0.13	-0.63	0.77	0.05	3	-5	8	13.6	14.8	-1.13	16.8	17.5	-0.77
Javaris Crittenton	38	37	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.01	1	-3	4	14.2	14.2	-0.06	16.4	17.7	-1.33
JaVale McGee	33	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.11	1	-3	4	13.7	14.5	-0.82	17.7	16.8	0.94
Dominic McGuire	78	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	1	-4	14.5	12.5	1.98	16.9	18.5	-1.59
Antawn Jamison	81	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.43	-1	-1	0	14.0	15.7	-1.79	17.6	13.7	3.89
Gilbert Arenas	55	54	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.44	-3	1	-4	14.2	14.2	0.06	17.7	16.4	1.33
Andray Blatche	66	64	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.32	-7	5	-12	14.4	13.6	0.85	16.7	18.1	-1.38
Caron Butler	66	66	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.61	-1	-1	0	14.5	13.4	1.11	17.2	16.9	0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.24,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.24,0.27,0.36,0.47,0.33,0.25,0.36,0.1,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 95, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.2,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.54,0.24,0.02,0	92.9%
TOR 97, MIL 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.22,0.27,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.28,0.26,0.35,0.4,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.02,0	92.7%
CHI 84, NJN 73	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.15,0.2,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.22,0.04,0,0	92.7%