NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	84		Excitement	6.7 [495]		MVP	Brook Lopez (NJN): +11.2%
New Jersey Nets	73		Comeback	1.8 [889]		LVP	Deron Williams (NJN): -29.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.01	0.09	-0.00	17	53%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.02	6	75%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Taj Gibson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	4	70%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
CJ Watson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	7	61%	0.06	3	-0.08	4	25%	-0.04
Kurt Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.02	3	67%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	23	40%	0.03	1	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Keith Bogans	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	21%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Joakim Noah	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	6	36%	-0.07	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.05	0.03	15	59%	0.14	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.04
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	-0.03	12	54%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.05	0.00	12	43%	0.03	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04
Damion James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sundiata Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	10	40%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	5	0%	-0.09	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.20	-0.12	-0.03	12	19%	-0.15	4	-0.14	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.8	26.7	14.8	25.4	2.5	35.2	132.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +40.1%

NJN -7.5%

CHI +10.2%

NJN -5.3%

CHI +12.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NJN	NBA	CHI	NJN	NBA
this game	17.1	16.6	15.5	97.7	85.9	105.7
season	15.7	16.4		106.5	101.6
opponent	15.3	15.9		108.5	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.0	18.9	17.5	17.1	17.1
NJN	17.0	16.1	17.6	15.6	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Rose	67	66	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.20	14	-3	17	16.5	19.1	-2.58	16.7	16.4	0.28
Luol Deng	80	78	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.21	13	-2	15	17.0	17.7	-0.62	16.8	13.7	3.13
Joakim Noah	59	56	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	7	-3	17.1	17.1	-0.08	15.4	19.0	-3.61
Kurt Thomas	36	39	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.19	5	6	-1	16.2	17.7	-1.50	15.4	17.6	-2.18
Kyle Korver	28	28	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.06	8	3	5	17.0	17.1	-0.14	15.0	17.4	-2.32
Omer Asik	42	40	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	2	7	18.1	16.1	2.05	18.2	15.1	3.09
Keith Bogans	31	30	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.08	0	11	-11	16.7	17.3	-0.65	16.0	16.9	-0.86
Taj Gibson	32	33	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.05	3	8	-5	17.4	16.9	0.55	18.5	15.4	3.10
Ronnie Brewer	33	34	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	10	-9	17.7	16.7	0.93	17.8	15.8	1.96
CJ Watson	22	21	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.06	-2	13	-15	17.8	16.8	0.97	15.8	16.9	-1.10

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johan Petro	19	18	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.02	3	-14	17	16.5	16.6	-0.15	18.2	16.8	1.43
Sundiata Gaines	18	17	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.00	3	-14	17	17.7	16.3	1.44	18.9	16.7	2.23
Brandan Wright	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-11	11	10.0	16.7	-6.75	13.5	17.2	-3.68
Jordan Farmar	24	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.08	-4	-7	3	16.0	16.8	-0.76	17.0	17.1	-0.13
Travis Outlaw	27	25	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	-7	3	17.1	16.4	0.71	14.8	18.0	-3.18
Damion James	34	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-7	3	16.4	16.7	-0.29	18.0	16.5	1.48
Anthony Morrow	50	52	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.22	-1	-10	9	15.8	17.7	-1.96	16.5	18.0	-1.55
Sasha Vujacic	50	51	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	0	-11	17.1	15.9	1.19	17.7	16.2	1.55
Kris Humphries	70	73	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.17	-12	1	-13	16.7	16.3	0.39	17.2	16.5	0.65
Deron Williams	65	65	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.23	-12	1	-13	16.5	16.8	-0.28	16.7	18.2	-1.52
Brook Lopez	66	68	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.22	-13	2	-15	16.8	15.7	1.10	17.1	17.1	0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.15,0.2,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.22,0.04,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 100, ATL 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.24,0.28,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.39,0.28,0.05,0.09,0	92.8%
DET 98, WAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.24,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.24,0.27,0.36,0.47,0.33,0.25,0.36,0.1,0.08,0	92.7%
HOU 109, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.11,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.23,0.16,0.01,0	92.2%