NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	100		Excitement	7.1 [361]		MVP	Damon Jones (CLE): +19.1%
Atlanta Hawks	95		Comeback	1.6 [420]		LVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): -33.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Jones	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.1,0.24,0.19,0.19	0.08	0.10	-0.01	9	72%	0.23	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.15	0.09	0.07	0.01	12	75%	0.22	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.03	-0.00	13	63%	0.09	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
LeBron James	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	24	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	20%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	16	39%	-0.07	4	-0.14	6	50%	-0.08

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.01	8	60%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Josh Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.04	-0.02	13	43%	0.06	2	-0.05	9	56%	-0.06
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.04	0.01	14	60%	0.17	3	-0.17	7	100%	0.05
Mario West	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	10	41%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1	-0.10	0.02	-0.11	0.00	7	56%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.29,-0.29,-0.34	-0.34	-0.11	-0.24	-0.02	20	51%	-0.00	8	-0.33	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.5	26.6	15.0	27.5	2.0	39.3	140.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +45.8%

ATL -23.2%

CLE +7.4%

CLE +18.6%

CLE +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ATL	NBA	CLE	ATL	NBA
this game	15.9	14.9	15.4	107.5	101.1	105.7
season	16.4	15.4		104.0	104.2
opponent	15.7	15.2		107.2	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.7	14.7	14.8	16.6	15.9
ATL	13.0	16.7	15.2	14.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Jones	49	49	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.45	4	1	3	15.6	16.3	-0.77	14.8	15.0	-0.20
Eric Snow	55	55	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.33	7	-2	9	15.6	16.4	-0.82	15.3	14.3	0.97
Devin Brown	48	48	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	-1	7	15.0	16.9	-1.93	14.7	15.0	-0.25
LeBron James	86	87	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.31	5	0	5	15.9	16.3	-0.38	14.8	15.4	-0.60
Ira Newble	73	73	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.39	-5	10	-15	16.2	15.1	1.00	15.1	14.0	1.06
Donyell Marshall	12	12	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.07	8	-3	11	16.7	15.8	0.84	15.0	14.9	0.15
Dwayne Jones	19	21	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.05	3	2	1	16.0	15.9	0.08	14.8	14.9	-0.14
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	57	57	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	3	-1	16.2	15.5	0.76	15.0	14.7	0.24
Larry Hughes	66	68	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.06	-5	10	-15	16.6	14.4	2.15	14.4	16.0	-1.56

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Acie Law	3	2	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.05	4	-9	13	17.3	14.8	2.54	15.0	16.0	-0.96
Mario West	1	0	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-5	5	0.0	15.0	-15.03	0.0	15.9	-15.94
Zaza Pachulia	20	20	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.07	-8	3	-11	14.6	14.9	-0.35	16.9	15.7	1.23
Al Horford	50	51	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.16	-3	-2	-1	15.4	14.3	1.04	15.0	17.1	-2.07
Anthony Johnson	34	35	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	4	-13	15.8	14.3	1.49	15.8	16.0	-0.22
Joe Johnson	84	83	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.44	6	-11	17	14.8	15.6	-0.81	16.1	14.4	1.72
Tyronn Lue	56	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-5	5	14.4	15.5	-1.10	16.1	15.8	0.30
Marvin Williams	75	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.32	-2	-3	1	14.9	14.9	-0.03	16.3	14.6	1.64
Josh Smith	77	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.30	-4	-1	-3	14.7	15.8	-1.09	15.4	18.1	-2.66
Josh Childress	70	70	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.25	-9	4	-13	14.9	14.7	0.22	16.3	14.7	1.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.24,0.28,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.39,0.28,0.05,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 109, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.11,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.23,0.16,0.01,0	93.1%
CHI 84, NJN 73	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.15,0.2,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.22,0.04,0,0	92.8%
DET 98, WAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.24,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.24,0.27,0.36,0.47,0.33,0.25,0.36,0.1,0.08,0	92.4%