NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	77		Excitement	4.6 [909]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +23.3%
Boston Celtics	90		Comeback	1.4 [1213]		LVP	Eric Gordon (LAC): -22.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Novak	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.03	-0.02	6	75%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	12	45%	0.06	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Fred Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	69%	0.04	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	15	52%	0.05	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.02
Mike Taylor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	8	47%	0.01	4	-0.11	1	0%	-0.01
Eric Gordon	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.18	-0.05	-0.01	12	30%	-0.15	5	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.19	0.07	0.02	10	95%	0.26	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.03	0.02	5	100%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.02	0.06	6	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Pruitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	6	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	13	54%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	7	50%	0.03	4	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.01	-0.04	11	29%	-0.05	1	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	9	55%	0.03	4	-0.13	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.7	27.2	15.7	25.2	1.7	29.3	127.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +30.0%

BOS +1.7%

LAC -4.4%

BOS +28.1%

LAC -5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	BOS	NBA	LAC	BOS	NBA
this game	16.8	14.5	15.5	84.6	96.8	106.4
season	15.7	15.8		100.7	108.3
opponent	15.6	15.1		101.7	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.8	14.2	20.9	17.0	16.8
BOS	13.0	15.8	12.8	16.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Taylor	27	27	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.03	4	-17	21	16.5	17.0	-0.47	16.7	13.6	3.13
Steve Novak	24	23	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.08	0	-13	13	16.0	17.1	-1.09	16.5	13.8	2.65
Chris Kaman	34	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.16	5	-18	23	16.8	16.9	-0.08	14.8	14.3	0.55
Mardy Collins	30	30	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-10	7	16.1	17.2	-1.16	13.7	14.8	-1.11
Al Thornton	34	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-10	7	17.2	16.6	0.53	14.9	14.2	0.65
Zach Randolph	74	75	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	-6	-1	16.3	19.4	-3.16	14.7	13.7	1.01
Fred Jones	51	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.11	-13	0	-13	17.8	15.6	2.22	13.7	15.5	-1.75
Baron Davis	61	63	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.19	-14	1	-15	17.1	16.3	0.77	13.9	15.7	-1.80
Marcus Camby	63	66	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.19	-15	2	-17	17.1	16.2	0.96	14.0	15.7	-1.72
Eric Gordon	57	56	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.15	-19	6	-25	16.9	16.8	0.08	14.2	14.9	-0.68

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rajon Rondo	56	54	0.66	-0.16	0.83	-0.04	24	-11	35	13.0	16.7	-3.68	17.6	15.7	1.93
Ray Allen	69	68	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.18	27	-14	41	13.8	16.5	-2.72	17.9	13.7	4.22
Paul Pierce	62	61	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.01	20	-7	27	13.0	17.5	-4.50	17.5	15.5	1.96
Kendrick Perkins	59	57	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.04	19	-6	25	13.4	16.4	-2.99	17.3	16.1	1.21
Kevin Garnett	35	34	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.01	13	0	13	14.0	14.8	-0.78	18.2	16.0	2.22
Glen Davis	55	54	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.10	5	8	-3	14.5	14.5	-0.03	16.3	17.7	-1.40
Gabe Pruitt	9	8	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	19	-25	19.8	13.9	5.86	11.4	17.4	-6.00
Henry Walker	16	16	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.30	-13	26	-39	18.9	13.6	5.30	12.1	17.9	-5.80
Eddie House	30	30	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.07	-2	15	-17	15.3	14.1	1.16	16.9	16.8	0.08
Mikki Moore	37	36	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.16	-11	24	-35	16.7	13.0	3.68	15.9	17.5	-1.63
Stephon Marbury	37	37	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.16	-11	24	-35	16.7	13.0	3.68	15.7	17.6	-1.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.65,0.7,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 101, DET 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.73,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.92,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	94.1%
POR 84, HOU 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
SAS 97, ORL 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.47,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1	93.7%