NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	84		Excitement	4.5 [935]		MVP	Yao Ming (HOU): +19.7%
Houston Rockets	102		Comeback	1.4 [949]		LVP	Darius Miles (POR): -11.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Blake	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.18	0.03	0.02	12	79%	0.23	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.04
Zach Randolph	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	12	54%	0.09	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Martell Webster	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ha Seung-Jin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	11	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Travis Outlaw	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	5	62%	-0.03	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.04
Voshon Lenard	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	9	40%	-0.03	4	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Darius Miles	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.05	13	32%	-0.08	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.08	0.01	21	56%	0.22	1	-0.03	15	80%	0.02
David Wesley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.02	9	57%	0.11	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.01	0.04	8	65%	0.07	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	18	47%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	56%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	43%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	25.4	14.7	29.3	2.3	28.4	124.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +20.2%

HOU +12.5%

HOU +9.4%

HOU +11.2%

POR -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	HOU	NBA	POR	HOU	NBA
this game	18.1	14.6	15.6	95.5	115.9	104.4
season	16.6	16.1		99.4	99.9
opponent	16.1	15.7		101.4	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.4	17.5	22.7	16.4	18.1
HOU	12.4	19.5	13.3	14.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Jack	7	6	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.03	5	-23	28	21.4	17.8	3.61	21.5	14.1	7.38
Viktor Khryapa	43	43	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.27	13	-31	44	18.5	17.8	0.71	17.5	11.9	5.55
Voshon Lenard	43	43	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.01	2	-20	22	15.6	20.5	-4.93	14.6	14.6	0.01
Martell Webster	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-18	18	9.2	18.5	-9.27	8.0	14.9	-6.94
Ha Seung-Jin	9	10	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	-11	4	18.1	18.1	0.01	15.4	14.5	0.87
Darius Miles	53	51	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.05	-10	-8	-2	17.8	18.6	-0.78	15.0	14.1	0.94
Sebastian Telfair	52	54	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.02	-9	-9	0	16.3	20.7	-4.48	14.3	15.1	-0.85
Zach Randolph	55	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.17	-17	-1	-16	18.4	17.5	0.89	14.8	14.3	0.49
Brian Skinner	57	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.13	-18	0	-18	19.4	15.7	3.64	14.3	15.1	-0.79
Travis Outlaw	30	31	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.01	-15	-3	-12	17.7	18.3	-0.56	12.1	16.0	-3.85
Juan Dixon	32	32	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	-1	-16	20.1	17.0	3.08	14.2	14.9	-0.64
Steve Blake	55	54	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.03	-17	-1	-16	19.4	15.9	3.56	13.7	16.1	-2.43

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	65	63	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.08	24	-6	30	14.4	15.2	-0.80	18.5	17.1	1.37
Yao Ming	62	62	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.10	22	-4	26	15.2	13.3	1.82	19.4	15.0	4.35
Tracy McGrady	53	56	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.02	18	0	18	14.8	14.3	0.47	19.2	16.2	3.01
Juwan Howard	62	66	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.00	17	1	16	14.4	15.2	-0.86	18.7	16.3	2.44
Rafer Alston	57	60	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	4	10	14.4	15.1	-0.73	18.7	16.7	2.04
Stromile Swift	37	36	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.07	5	13	-8	14.4	14.8	-0.47	16.6	19.2	-2.57
Luther Head	44	42	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.05	-1	19	-20	15.6	13.7	1.93	17.8	18.4	-0.61
Ryan Bowen	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	17	-16	7.7	14.9	-7.20	10.0	18.3	-8.29
Rick Brunson	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	8.0	14.9	-6.94	9.2	18.5	-9.27
Keith Bogans	41	39	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	19	-20	14.7	14.6	0.11	16.2	19.7	-3.50
Charles Hayes	12	10	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.13	-9	27	-36	15.7	14.4	1.30	13.2	18.7	-5.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 97, BOS 117	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
NYK 85, BOS 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
CLE 98, MIL 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%