NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	101		Excitement	5.4 [737]		MVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): +17.0%
Detroit Pistons	109		Comeback	1.6 [701]		LVP	Kenny Anderson (BOS): -9.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Battie	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	6	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.05	26	59%	0.06	3	-0.08	7	100%	0.04
Eric Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	62%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Tony Delk	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.04	-0.03	0.08	25	54%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	14	45%	-0.06	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Kenny Anderson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	7	25%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.07	-0.02	19	64%	0.23	2	-0.06	9	89%	0.02
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	9	65%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	21	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	54%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	0.00	11	61%	-0.00	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	11	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	3.0	28.7	18.7	25.5	2.5	40.7	143.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +41.2%

DET +2.0%

DET +14.4%

BOS -7.5%

BOS -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DET	NBA	BOS	DET	NBA
this game	14.8	15.6	15.6	105.2	117.2	102.3
season	15.0	15.7		100.9	101.9
opponent	15.8	15.7		99.8	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.1	14.8	15.3	13.4	14.8
DET	13.9	17.3	16.8	14.9	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Anderson	40	40	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-8	8	14.9	14.8	0.10	16.3	15.1	1.19
Vitaly Potapenko	15	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-10	12	13.7	15.1	-1.40	18.2	15.3	2.90
Erick Strickland	23	21	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.22	6	-14	20	12.6	15.5	-2.94	14.0	16.1	-2.19
Walter McCarty	14	14	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	-3	-2	16.8	14.5	2.27	15.3	15.7	-0.42
Rodney Rogers	58	57	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.34	5	-13	18	14.3	15.7	-1.48	14.8	16.9	-2.07
Tony Battie	47	47	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.14	-12	4	-16	16.1	13.7	2.43	16.5	14.7	1.79
Antoine Walker	87	85	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.31	-4	-4	0	14.7	16.1	-1.40	15.8	14.2	1.53
Tony Delk	33	32	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	6	-20	16.3	14.1	2.27	15.9	15.5	0.40
Paul Pierce	93	90	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.27	-7	-1	-6	15.0	9.7	5.34	15.9	9.0	6.87
Eric Williams	70	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	3	-14	14.3	16.3	-2.01	14.9	17.7	-2.79

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerry Stackhouse	71	72	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.13	20	-12	32	15.2	17.1	-1.89	15.1	14.2	0.85
Clifford Robinson	89	92	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.20	13	-5	18	15.5	18.5	-2.98	14.8	16.0	-1.21
Ben Wallace	84	87	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.32	7	1	6	15.7	15.1	0.59	14.9	14.7	0.20
Michael Curry	47	49	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.04	16	-8	24	14.6	16.7	-2.04	15.4	14.2	1.19
Chucky Atkins	64	68	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.05	17	-9	26	15.0	17.0	-1.92	15.0	14.4	0.59
Damon Jones	29	28	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.31	-9	17	-26	17.0	15.0	1.92	14.4	15.0	-0.59
Jon Barry	32	34	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.26	-11	19	-30	17.2	14.8	2.35	14.6	15.0	-0.30
Zeljko Rebraca	12	11	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	12	-16	16.2	15.6	0.60	14.7	14.9	-0.13
Corliss Williamson	37	39	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.07	-9	17	-26	16.5	15.1	1.35	14.0	15.4	-1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.73,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.92,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 90, POR 99	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.75,0.71,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.88,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.4%
DEN 89, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%
LAC 77, BOS 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.65,0.7,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%