NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	90		Excitement	4.9 [799]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): +10.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	99		Comeback	1.5 [1100]		LVP	Brian Grant (POR): -10.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrick Martin	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.00	6	83%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Richardson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stojko Vrankovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	16	64%	0.08	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	4	75%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.03	0.03	17	59%	0.03	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	14	45%	-0.04	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01
James Robinson	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	8	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Charles Smith	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.04	-0.06	10	18%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.03	-0.03	16	60%	0.14	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	11	69%	0.11	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.02	-0.01	8	77%	0.08	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	5	45%	0.00	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	8	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	14	52%	0.03	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	6	44%	-0.05	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.01
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	7	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.8	22.3	15.6	24.2	2.5	30.4	120.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +10.0%

POR +16.4%

POR +12.6%

POR +11.0%

POR +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	POR	NBA	LAC	POR	NBA
this game	15.8	15.7	15.6	98.9	107.6	102.5
season	15.5	15.9		101.0	101.9
opponent	15.4	15.1		100.6	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.0	15.4	17.7	15.1	15.8
POR	15.0	18.9	13.7	15.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Smith	34	34	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.10	4	-13	17	17.0	15.1	1.88	17.1	14.9	2.18
Lorenzen Wright	53	52	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.21	6	-15	21	16.2	15.2	1.09	16.7	14.4	2.27
Darrick Martin	33	34	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-9	9	16.2	15.6	0.61	16.5	15.2	1.25
Stojko Vrankovic	8	8	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-6	3	15.6	15.8	-0.18	12.9	16.0	-3.08
Rodney Rogers	71	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-5	1	15.1	18.2	-3.15	15.7	15.8	-0.15
Ike Austin	77	79	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.14	-7	-2	-5	16.2	13.7	2.45	16.1	13.4	2.68
Pooh Richardson	58	58	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.13	-9	0	-9	15.6	16.2	-0.61	15.2	16.5	-1.25
James Robinson	57	58	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.14	-13	4	-17	15.1	17.0	-1.88	14.9	17.1	-2.18
Lamond Murray	64	65	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.12	-19	10	-29	15.7	15.9	-0.14	14.8	17.8	-2.96

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	61	62	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.05	17	-8	25	15.4	16.3	-0.91	17.2	12.7	4.50
Walt Williams	48	47	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.29	7	2	5	15.2	16.2	-0.95	16.1	15.5	0.61
Damon Stoudamire	65	61	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	-2	13	15.6	15.9	-0.34	15.4	16.6	-1.21
Arvydas Sabonis	63	62	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	-4	17	15.2	16.8	-1.62	15.7	16.1	-0.41
Stacey Augmon	33	33	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.11	7	2	5	15.0	16.1	-1.07	15.7	15.9	-0.20
Brian Grant	52	51	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.07	8	1	7	16.5	14.6	1.96	16.4	15.0	1.37
Isaiah Rider	68	67	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.10	2	7	-5	15.9	15.0	0.98	15.4	17.0	-1.64
Gary Grant	27	30	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	11	-13	15.9	15.6	0.34	16.6	15.4	1.21
Kelvin Cato	11	11	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	9	-9	15.3	15.7	-0.47	12.5	16.2	-3.69
Jermaine O'Neal	32	31	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.37	-18	27	-45	16.9	15.0	1.82	14.0	16.7	-2.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.75,0.71,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.88,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 84, HOU 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
BOS 101, DET 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.73,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.92,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	94.4%
CHA 102, NJN 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%