inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 97 Excitement5.3 [740] MVPDavid Robinson (SAS): +23.7%
Orlando Magic 107 Comeback2.0 [396] LVPSean Elliott (SAS): -11.8%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
David Robinson0.240,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.180.060.001483%0.251-0.02875%0.01
Jaren Jackson0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.06-0.01-0.00972%0.092-0.0400%0.00
Terry Porter0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.01371%0.041-0.0310%-0.00
Felton Spencer0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Samaki Walker0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Antonio Daniels-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.020.03864%0.021-0.04683%0.01
Avery Johnson-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.01-0.01633%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Mario Elie-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.0110%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Jerome Kersey-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.020.00650%0.023-0.0900%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.090.00-0.060.041248%-0.0900.003100%0.01
Malik Rose-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.01-0.070.02467%-0.061-0.041040%-0.12
Sean Elliott-0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.11-0.01-0.0160%-0.091-0.0200%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.110.04-0.021861%0.1700.002100%0.00
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.03-0.024100%0.122-0.0400%0.00
Monty Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.01-0.022100%0.061-0.002100%0.01
Chucky Atkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.020.021073%0.104-0.082100%0.00
John Amaechi0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001856%0.051-0.03757%-0.03
Ben Wallace0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.02-0.02945%0.031-0.02250%-0.00
Pat Garrity0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.04-0.00540%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Anthony Johnson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Corey Maggette0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Ron Mercer0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.03-0.00837%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Bo Outlaw0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.05-0.00679%0.065-0.15250%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.527.415.829.61.843.2144.4
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +36.2%
ORL +3.8%
ORL +10.2%
ORL +1.7%
SAS -1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASORLNBASASORLNBA
this game16.515.315.2105.4120.2101.7
season15.513.6101.6100.4
opponent15.415.499.395.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS17.115.517.615.816.5
ORL14.217.313.516.215.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Felton Spencer100.00-0.500.500.000-10109.016.6-7.600.015.3-15.28
Samaki Walker22-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-8610.516.7-6.164.015.5-11.54
Terry Porter3634-0.04-0.460.43-0.309-192815.217.3-2.0917.414.03.35
Antonio Daniels4945-0.07-0.430.36-0.225-152014.918.4-3.4716.414.12.31
Sean Elliott3030-0.11-0.390.270.12-8-2-617.616.01.6515.215.3-0.12
Mario Elie1516-0.13-0.370.240.04-6-4-218.016.21.7713.115.8-2.63
Jaren Jackson6260-0.15-0.350.20-0.181-111215.917.9-2.0015.614.60.98
David Robinson6567-0.16-0.340.18-0.10-2-8616.616.30.3715.215.6-0.41
Malik Rose4037-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.13-5-5016.216.7-0.4814.615.7-1.13
Avery Johnson4344-0.43-0.07-0.360.01-155-2018.414.93.4714.116.4-2.31
Tim Duncan7874-0.570.07-0.63-0.18-133-1616.715.70.9515.713.22.50
Jerome Kersey3936-0.570.07-0.64-0.16-144-1817.615.71.9014.415.8-1.40

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darrell Armstrong62620.60-0.100.71-0.0422-123415.015.8-0.7716.516.7-0.22
John Amaechi62630.52-0.020.53-0.0720-103015.015.9-0.9316.915.81.11
Bo Outlaw65670.490.010.480.1412-21415.714.11.5816.815.90.88
Ron Mercer71720.480.020.45-0.0217-72414.916.8-1.9517.612.65.01
Ben Wallace66660.420.080.330.0612-21415.414.80.6117.514.23.30
Pat Garrity23260.080.42-0.330.14-212-1414.815.4-0.6114.217.5-3.30
Chucky Atkins39420.070.43-0.350.31-818-2615.615.00.6414.917.9-2.93
Monty Williams23240.040.46-0.420.13-313-1614.815.4-0.6117.516.21.38
Michael Doleac2729-0.020.52-0.530.28-1020-3015.915.00.9315.816.9-1.11
Corey Maggette35-0.060.56-0.610.03-313-1619.015.23.8512.816.7-3.94
Anthony Johnson44-0.130.63-0.750.08-717-2415.215.3-0.039.216.9-7.60


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.47,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 104, MIN 1220.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.52,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.85,0.85,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.3%
DAL 106, MIL 1160.5,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.9,0.99,0.99,193.8%
LAC 77, BOS 900.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.65,0.7,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,193.7%