NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	96		Excitement	3.0 [1189]		MVP	Mo Williams (CLE): +12.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	102		Comeback	1.2 [1113]		LVP	Ronald Murray (ATL): -11.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	46%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	13	73%	0.10	5	-0.08	7	86%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randolph Morris	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Gardner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othello Hunter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.08	12	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	35%	-0.01	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.02
Mike Bibby	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	15	47%	-0.00	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	10	36%	-0.06	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Ronald Murray	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	0.00	0.11	16	56%	-0.02	5	-0.09	7	86%	-0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.02	0.04	14	73%	0.14	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.05
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.01	11	62%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.00	-0.06	21	47%	0.08	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
JJ Hickson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarence Kinsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darnell Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	57%	0.02	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	5	42%	-0.01	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	9	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	37.5	15.5	23.2	1.8	29.4	133.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +29.4%

CLE +6.6%

CLE +3.9%

CLE +7.2%

CLE +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CLE	NBA	ATL	CLE	NBA
this game	14.7	16.5	15.5	105.5	109.7	106.4
season	15.8	16.9		106.7	110.6
opponent	15.2	16.1		101.0	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.1	13.7	16.9	11.9	14.7
CLE	14.9	15.1	19.1	17.4	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randolph Morris	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-12	18	7.7	15.1	-7.32	14.4	16.7	-2.26
Othello Hunter	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-12	18	7.7	15.1	-7.32	14.4	16.7	-2.26
Thomas Gardner	4	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.18	6	-12	18	7.7	15.1	-7.32	16.3	16.6	-0.22
Mario West	12	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.21	7	-13	20	12.2	15.1	-2.88	12.1	17.2	-5.11
Josh Smith	59	60	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-6	6	15.1	14.2	0.86	17.8	14.2	3.56
Ronald Murray	45	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.31	3	-9	12	13.2	16.3	-3.10	16.0	17.0	-1.00
Zaza Pachulia	38	39	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	5	-16	14.3	15.1	-0.79	14.9	17.7	-2.82
Maurice Evans	69	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.13	-7	1	-8	15.2	13.5	1.70	16.5	16.5	-0.01
Al Horford	70	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	3	-12	15.6	12.0	3.63	16.9	15.5	1.40
Joe Johnson	78	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.08	-14	8	-22	15.1	12.7	2.40	17.2	12.6	4.58
Mike Bibby	72	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.03	-17	11	-28	15.7	11.1	4.67	16.7	16.1	0.51

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	63	62	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.04	12	-6	18	16.9	15.8	1.14	14.1	16.2	-2.09
LeBron James	74	72	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.10	10	-4	14	17.2	13.9	3.32	15.7	11.3	4.40
Delonte West	63	62	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	-6	18	16.5	16.7	-0.24	16.2	11.7	4.54
Anderson Varejao	45	45	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.14	17	-11	28	16.4	16.6	-0.18	16.7	12.8	3.84
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	46	46	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.04	11	-5	16	16.8	16.3	0.44	16.8	12.7	4.07
Joe Smith	44	43	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.24	-1	7	-8	16.1	16.9	-0.76	14.0	15.4	-1.46
Sasha Pavlovic	33	32	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.31	-4	10	-14	15.2	17.2	-2.01	14.2	15.1	-0.91
Daniel Gibson	47	45	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.32	-5	11	-16	16.0	17.1	-1.09	13.3	16.2	-2.93
Darnell Jackson	37	37	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.38	-9	15	-24	16.2	16.7	-0.53	11.6	16.9	-5.27
JJ Hickson	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	13	-20	18.6	16.3	2.23	10.6	15.1	-4.52
Tarence Kinsey	4	3	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.17	-6	12	-18	17.7	16.5	1.27	5.7	15.1	-9.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 91, DET 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
MIA 83, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
ORL 100, LAL 117	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%