inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 100 Excitement3.1 [1133] MVPDerek Fisher (LAL): +6.3%
Los Angeles Lakers 117 Comeback1.2 [1141] LVPTariq Abdul-Wahad (ORL): -9.4%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pat Garrity0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.021162%0.022-0.024100%0.00
Ben Wallace0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.05350%0.002-0.002100%0.01
Corey Maggette-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02556%-0.001-0.00683%0.00
John Amaechi-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.001056%-0.002-0.02580%-0.00
Bo Outlaw-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.00183%0.002-0.02475%-0.01
Chucky Atkins-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.01852%-0.001-0.02580%0.00
Anthony Parker-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.02125%-0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Monty Williams-0.030,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.00333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Michael Doleac-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.011050%0.013-0.0500%0.00
Darrell Armstrong-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.000.031362%0.034-0.076100%0.01
Chris Gatling-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.110.00-0.0530%-0.013-0.0500%0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad-0.090,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.110.00-0.011033%-0.052-0.044100%0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derek Fisher0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.000.01973%0.081-0.02475%0.00
Glen Rice0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.000.021371%0.093-0.048100%0.03
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.011663%0.052-0.021145%-0.04
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.01380%0.011-0.00475%0.00
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.00-0.041258%0.034-0.02250%0.00
John Celestand0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.070.00-0.0730%0.0010.0000%0.00
Brian Shaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.002100%0.002-0.0000%0.00
Travis Knight0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
John Salley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01175%0.0000.00250%0.00
Ron Harper0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.000.02564%-0.012-0.024100%0.01
A.C. Green0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.00-0.03520%-0.031-0.0000%0.00
Rick Fox0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.120.00-0.041137%-0.034-0.05250%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.42.631.216.428.82.031.2140.6
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +24.4%
LAL +3.6%
LAL +10.0%
LAL +14.3%
ORL -2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLLALNBAORLLALNBA
this game12.714.715.295.2111.4101.7
season13.615.3100.4105.6
opponent15.115.498.199.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL13.712.213.311.612.7
LAL12.014.416.216.614.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Corey Maggette4445-0.06-0.440.38-0.184-212512.013.2-1.2314.714.70.03
Anthony Parker3533-0.15-0.350.20-0.181-181911.813.2-1.4114.314.9-0.56
Pat Garrity5252-0.16-0.340.19-0.160-171712.113.3-1.1914.515.0-0.50
Michael Doleac3029-0.16-0.340.180.02-6-11514.012.21.7516.414.12.40
Bo Outlaw3332-0.16-0.340.180.16-11-6-513.312.50.8114.514.8-0.26
Chris Gatling2424-0.22-0.280.060.13-12-5-712.012.9-0.9314.414.8-0.44
John Amaechi5150-0.22-0.280.050.10-11-6-512.912.50.4013.615.7-2.05
Chucky Atkins4142-0.23-0.270.030.00-8-9112.013.2-1.2116.113.82.34
Ben Wallace5355-0.24-0.260.02-0.09-5-12712.712.70.0115.214.20.94
Darrell Armstrong6867-0.28-0.22-0.050.08-12-5-713.211.91.3114.315.5-1.23
Monty Williams3738-0.28-0.22-0.060.07-12-5-713.112.50.6514.814.70.12
Tariq Abdul-Wahad5758-0.34-0.16-0.180.04-13-4-913.212.11.1214.515.0-0.56

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shaquille O'Neal84840.500.000.49-0.1823-62914.615.2-0.6013.011.71.31
Ron Harper56560.410.090.31-0.2723-62916.113.22.9113.112.30.84
Glen Rice68680.350.150.20-0.03134913.317.2-3.9113.411.51.81
Derek Fisher44450.320.180.14-0.091431114.514.9-0.4113.612.01.55
Robert Horry45460.320.180.14-0.3021-42514.315.0-0.6712.512.9-0.34
Kobe Bryant57580.250.250.00-0.161431113.715.9-2.1412.812.60.18
A.C. Green34350.160.34-0.18-0.02611-515.914.11.8113.812.21.63
Rick Fox44430.100.40-0.310.12-118-1916.513.43.0311.413.6-2.27
John Celestand22210.060.44-0.390.26-724-3114.314.8-0.5611.912.9-1.01
John Salley16150.020.48-0.460.23-724-3115.114.70.4111.213.0-1.77
Brian Shaw40390.020.48-0.460.28-926-3513.815.3-1.4811.813.2-1.38
Travis Knight15150.000.50-0.500.15-522-2716.914.42.5110.713.0-2.31


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 79, MEM 860.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
CLE 76, NOH 1020.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%
POR 69, SAS 850.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%