NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	122		Excitement	6.5 [504]		MVP	Matt Barnes (PHX): +17.8%
Phoenix Suns	117		Comeback	2.4 [208]		LVP	Lou Amundson (PHX): -12.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.07	0.03	18	62%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.02	-0.00	6	86%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00	6	71%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.03	27	55%	0.16	3	-0.10	8	100%	0.04
Jason Kidd	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.03	8	75%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	4	60%	0.03	2	-0.09	2	0%	-0.04
Jose Juan Barea	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	14	53%	-0.01	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.08	0.01	12	64%	0.19	1	-0.01	9	67%	-0.04
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	-0.00	0.04	10	78%	0.14	2	-0.06	7	43%	-0.05
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.02	0.04	9	65%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	16	55%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.04	0.05	15	53%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.03	-0.08	0.04	17	62%	0.05	4	-0.15	3	67%	-0.01
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	7	31%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	28.2	15.6	26.1	2.5	36.5	135.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +26.7%

DAL +8.2%

DAL +18.9%

PHX -2.6%

PHX -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHX	NBA	DAL	PHX	NBA
this game	16.1	12.9	15.5	122.0	119.4	106.4
season	15.6	14.1		108.9	112.1
opponent	15.5	15.4		109.9	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.9	16.9	14.0	17.8	16.1
PHX	11.8	13.7	14.2	12.2	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Juan Barea	71	70	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.29	15	-10	25	16.2	16.0	0.12	13.4	11.9	1.46
Ryan Hollins	26	26	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.07	18	-13	31	16.7	15.9	0.72	15.8	11.9	3.96
Dirk Nowitzki	81	80	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.32	4	1	3	15.5	18.6	-3.04	12.6	14.6	-2.05
Jason Kidd	77	76	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.27	3	2	1	15.3	19.0	-3.74	12.4	14.6	-2.19
Antoine Wright	65	63	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.34	-4	9	-13	14.1	19.9	-5.75	12.5	13.7	-1.21
James Singleton	4	6	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.01	5	0	5	16.0	16.1	-0.13	15.2	12.8	2.37
Brandon Bass	44	42	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.10	1	4	-3	17.2	15.3	1.86	13.0	12.9	0.15
Jason Terry	67	65	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.36	-8	13	-21	16.9	14.5	2.49	12.3	14.2	-1.92
Devean George	29	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	6	-7	19.6	14.7	4.93	12.6	13.1	-0.53
Erick Dampier	36	35	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.03	-8	13	-21	16.8	15.7	1.11	13.7	12.5	1.12

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goran Dragic	9	9	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-6	7	13.9	12.8	1.05	16.0	16.1	-0.13
Lou Amundson	47	46	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-4	3	12.9	12.9	-0.01	17.0	15.4	1.55
Jason Richardson	61	62	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.31	8	-13	21	12.9	12.9	-0.01	15.3	17.5	-2.27
Jared Dudley	7	6	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.15	2	-7	9	10.4	13.1	-2.70	8.2	16.6	-8.46
Steve Nash	82	84	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.28	-1	-4	3	12.5	15.1	-2.54	16.0	16.8	-0.82
Matt Barnes	77	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.19	-7	2	-9	13.0	12.6	0.47	16.7	13.8	2.84
Shaquille O'Neal	65	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.10	-13	8	-21	14.4	10.0	4.43	16.2	16.0	0.18
Grant Hill	77	79	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.33	-7	2	-9	12.6	14.0	-1.35	16.2	15.9	0.33
Leandro Barbosa	65	67	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.35	-7	2	-9	12.3	14.1	-1.78	16.4	15.5	0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 119, BOS 103	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
SEA 113, PHX 105	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.71,0.59,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.05,0,0,0	93.6%
GSW 104, DEN 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0	93.5%