NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	84		Excitement	5.2 [794]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +29.3%
San Antonio Spurs	99		Comeback	1.1 [809]		LVP	Steve Blake (POR): -17.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Outlaw	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.03	-0.02	9	72%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.06	0.00	7	57%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	9	57%	0.06	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Sergio Rodriguez	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	57%	0.06	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Channing Frye	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	15	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	57%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Rudy Fernandez	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	8	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	18	35%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Steve Blake	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-0.02	9	0%	-0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.22	0.10	0.02	27	66%	0.32	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.13	0.14	0.02	9	83%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.01	11	59%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Hairston	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	-0.05	9	32%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	1.8	31.1	15.4	25.9	2.0	29.0	126.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +80.3%

POR -14.4%

POR -13.9%

POR -2.1%

SAS +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAS	NBA	POR	SAS	NBA
this game	17.5	16.8	15.5	100.0	117.9	106.4
season	16.7	16.4		111.0	106.6
opponent	15.7	16.0		103.2	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.4	17.0	19.6	16.2	17.5
SAS	16.1	16.5	16.4	18.1	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Fernandez	41	40	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-13	11	17.0	18.0	-1.02	17.2	16.4	0.79
Sergio Rodriguez	36	35	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.14	1	-16	17	17.2	17.7	-0.48	16.5	16.9	-0.42
Nicolas Batum	27	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-10	5	18.4	17.1	1.25	16.4	17.0	-0.61
Channing Frye	44	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	-11	7	17.0	18.1	-1.15	17.1	16.4	0.68
Travis Outlaw	55	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	-7	-1	16.6	19.2	-2.57	16.8	16.6	0.22
Joel Przybilla	38	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-9	3	18.8	16.5	2.31	16.8	16.7	0.14
Steve Blake	41	42	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-4	-7	18.0	17.1	0.83	16.8	16.8	0.00
Brandon Roy	68	68	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.01	-18	3	-21	17.7	16.7	1.03	16.9	16.4	0.48
LaMarcus Aldridge	70	72	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.00	-22	7	-29	17.6	17.4	0.20	16.4	18.7	-2.32

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	62	65	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.02	24	-9	33	17.0	16.2	0.72	17.6	17.2	0.47
Tony Parker	62	63	0.67	-0.17	0.84	-0.06	25	-10	35	16.2	18.4	-2.23	17.4	17.8	-0.32
Fabricio Oberto	45	45	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.04	20	-5	25	16.8	16.8	-0.01	17.2	17.9	-0.65
Matt Bonner	55	53	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.10	22	-7	29	15.6	19.0	-3.47	17.7	17.2	0.47
Roger Mason Jr.	49	47	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	9	-3	16.5	17.1	-0.65	18.8	15.9	2.87
Ime Udoka	22	24	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	12	-9	18.4	16.2	2.23	16.5	17.9	-1.38
Malik Hairston	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	14	-13	24.0	16.7	7.33	9.0	17.6	-8.63
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	14	-13	24.0	16.7	7.33	9.0	17.6	-8.63
George Hill	26	26	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.11	-8	23	-31	18.4	16.0	2.35	17.8	17.4	0.47
Kurt Thomas	55	55	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.24	-13	28	-41	17.2	15.9	1.32	17.8	17.0	0.85
Bruce Bowen	42	40	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.00	-6	21	-27	16.4	17.1	-0.67	16.5	18.5	-1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.67,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.83,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.89,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.92,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 74, MIL 80	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.89,0.89,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.97,0.93,0.98,1,1	94.8%
SEA 102, PHX 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1	94.5%
CHH 97, ATL 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.87,0.95,1,1,0.99,1	94.2%