NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	97		Excitement	4.7 [854]		MVP	Mookie Blaylock (ATL): +11.8%
Atlanta Hawks	106		Comeback	1.0 [1062]		LVP	Anthony Mason (CHH): -22.9%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.14	0.01	0.06	22	65%	0.12	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.03
Vlade Divac	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	12	72%	0.13	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Malik Rose	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	16	47%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafael Addison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Zidek	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	10	40%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.12	-0.09	0.02	16	37%	-0.16	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	13	77%	0.17	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Henry James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.01	-0.06	6	42%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.00	0.04	24	57%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	15	57%	0.05	1	-0.01	10	70%	-0.03
Ivano Newbill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	78%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	7	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	6	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	17.5	1.8	27.2	14.7	23.5	1.8	27.1	113.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +44.1%

CHH -8.1%

CHH -0.9%

ATL +11.8%

ATL +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	ATL	NBA	CHH	ATL	NBA
this game	17.1	16.4	15.6	112.8	123.3	104.4
season	15.7	16.4		108.0	105.3
opponent	16.0	16.0		100.3	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	16.4	17.9	20.1	14.4	17.1
ATL	15.6	14.9	16.7	18.4	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Delk	8	8	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.05	5	-14	19	15.6	17.3	-1.64	19.5	16.1	3.45
Rafael Addison	4	3	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-6	3	23.7	16.8	6.96	4.0	16.8	-12.82
Malik Rose	4	3	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-6	3	23.7	16.8	6.96	4.0	16.8	-12.82
Vlade Divac	76	77	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.30	4	-13	17	16.2	24.2	-8.02	17.2	9.3	7.86
Tony Smith	47	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.19	0	-9	9	16.0	18.5	-2.51	17.4	15.1	2.28
George Zidek	10	9	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	4	-17	24.2	16.2	8.02	9.3	17.2	-7.86
Dell Curry	61	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.24	-4	-5	1	17.0	17.4	-0.40	16.3	16.6	-0.26
Anthony Mason	82	83	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.24	-6	-3	-3	16.8	23.7	-6.96	16.8	4.0	12.82
Glen Rice	82	83	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.24	-6	-3	-3	16.8	23.7	-6.96	16.8	4.0	12.82
Muggsy Bogues	56	56	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.00	-19	10	-29	18.4	14.7	3.71	15.1	18.7	-3.52

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mookie Blaylock	79	79	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.25	9	0	9	16.2	17.9	-1.62	17.1	17.1	-0.03
Christian Laettner	81	80	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.27	7	2	5	16.6	12.4	4.22	17.0	18.0	-0.95
Steven Smith	63	62	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.14	11	-2	13	16.1	17.2	-1.15	18.1	14.5	3.63
Tyrone Corbin	53	53	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.07	9	0	9	16.8	15.6	1.19	16.8	17.5	-0.70
Dikembe Mutombo	67	68	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.21	4	5	-1	16.8	14.9	1.83	16.9	17.8	-0.84
Ivano Newbill	24	24	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.01	7	2	5	14.4	17.1	-2.71	17.8	16.8	0.99
Henry James	33	33	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.16	0	9	-9	15.6	16.8	-1.19	17.5	16.8	0.70
Jon Barry	30	31	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.08	-2	11	-13	17.4	15.8	1.53	15.1	18.3	-3.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.87,0.95,1,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 92, CLE 105	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1,1	96.1%
POR 87, UTA 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
NOH 72, NJN 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.9%