NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	74		Excitement	5.4 [717]		MVP	Ervin Johnson (MIL): +11.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	80		Comeback	1.3 [765]		LVP	Eric Snow (PHI): -39.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Todd MacCulloch	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	4	91%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jumaine Jones	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	15	52%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	11	46%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Aaron McKie	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	18	49%	-0.01	4	-0.12	9	100%	0.04
Tyrone Hill	-0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.06	0.00	6	30%	-0.15	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.05
Eric Snow	-0.39	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.21,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.27,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.37,-0.37,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39	-0.31	-0.09	-0.01	11	14%	-0.23	6	-0.16	6	33%	-0.06

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.06	0.01	4	100%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	15	62%	0.11	2	-0.06	9	67%	-0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	6	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	18	45%	-0.03	3	-0.05	8	100%	0.05
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	18	50%	0.05	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.8	34.2	21.3	31.6	2.7	40.2	158.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +35.3%

MIL +6.7%

PHI -2.7%

MIL +11.2%

PHI -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIL	NBA	PHI	MIL	NBA
this game	17.6	16.7	15.5	88.1	95.2	100.9
season	15.7	14.9		101.4	105.9
opponent	15.8	15.5		102.3	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	18.5	18.3	16.6	16.9	17.6
MIL	15.0	16.0	15.4	20.9	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Buford	9	8	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-10	14	17.8	17.6	0.20	15.1	16.9	-1.73
Todd MacCulloch	20	22	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-7	8	19.3	17.1	2.24	17.0	16.6	0.36
Raja Bell	10	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-4	2	19.6	17.3	2.28	17.9	16.5	1.43
Kevin Ollie	21	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-6	6	15.3	18.3	-3.02	15.3	17.2	-1.97
Jumaine Jones	77	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.32	1	-7	8	17.5	19.1	-1.69	16.8	15.7	1.15
Dikembe Mutombo	69	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-5	4	17.8	16.8	0.97	16.8	16.4	0.35
Eric Snow	70	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.30	-5	-1	-4	17.7	16.9	0.89	16.5	17.5	-1.03
Aaron McKie	82	82	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.34	-7	1	-8	17.6	18.0	-0.41	16.8	13.0	3.78
Tyrone Hill	62	62	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.22	-21	15	-36	17.3	18.5	-1.16	17.0	16.0	1.00

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	64	65	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.13	19	-13	32	16.3	18.0	-1.72	17.7	17.2	0.57
Ervin Johnson	75	75	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.25	12	-6	18	16.0	22.3	-6.32	17.5	18.6	-1.08
Scott Williams	47	49	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.22	9	-3	12	17.2	16.0	1.23	18.2	16.7	1.46
Ray Allen	78	78	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	2	2	16.9	13.7	3.26	17.2	22.2	-4.92
Glenn Robinson	69	69	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.29	2	4	-2	16.9	15.9	1.00	17.2	19.5	-2.36
Jason Caffey	17	17	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	6	-6	18.4	16.3	2.16	17.1	17.7	-0.67
Darvin Ham	10	10	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	5	-4	13.5	17.1	-3.62	18.3	17.5	0.80
Tim Thomas	33	32	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.13	-7	13	-20	17.6	16.1	1.46	17.9	17.4	0.50
Lindsey Hunter	27	25	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.16	-10	16	-26	16.5	16.8	-0.31	18.4	17.3	1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.89,0.89,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.97,0.93,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 84, SAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.67,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.83,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.89,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.92,1,1,1	94.8%
LAC 86, ATL 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.59,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%
ORL 96, BOS 107	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.4,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.81,0.8,0.91,0.97,0.9,0.9,0.94,1,1	94.3%