NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	105		Excitement	9.0 [127]		MVP	Mike Bibby (ATL): +17.4%
Sacramento Kings	100		Comeback	2.2 [718]		LVP	Jason Thompson (SAC): -19.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0.17	0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17	0.10	0.06	-0.01	19	62%	0.25	3	-0.08	9	56%	-0.07
Al Horford	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	12	60%	0.17	1	-0.08	6	67%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	4	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Maurice Evans	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Mario West	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.07,-0.12,-0.22,-0.04	-0.09	0.06	0.01	19	45%	0.10	5	-0.15	6	67%	-0.02
Josh Smith	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	14	39%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	8	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.1	0.10	0.14	-0.04	0.01	17	63%	0.15	2	-0.05	17	82%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.03	14	58%	0.23	2	-0.15	3	100%	0.04
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.07	-0.02	15	50%	0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	9	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.07
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.01	11	43%	-0.03	4	-0.12	1	0%	-0.01
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.09	-0.10	0.00	7	43%	-0.00	4	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.0	33.1	15.4	25.3	2.5	38.5	140.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +19.1%

SAC -18.6%

ATL +26.6%

ATL +23.6%

SAC -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	SAC	NBA	ATL	SAC	NBA
this game	13.9	14.8	15.5	104.0	100.0	106.4
season	15.8	15.0		106.7	104.0
opponent	15.1	16.1		112.7	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.0	14.6	11.0	17.0	13.9
SAC	14.2	12.6	18.3	14.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Williams	64	62	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.26	12	-7	19	14.5	12.7	1.80	15.4	13.8	1.66
Josh Smith	57	56	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	0	5	13.9	13.8	0.13	16.4	12.8	3.56
Al Horford	85	84	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	2	1	13.9	13.8	0.07	14.5	16.3	-1.81
Mike Bibby	94	92	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.39	1	4	-3	13.8	15.1	-1.37	14.6	17.4	-2.81
Joe Johnson	86	86	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.35	1	4	-3	13.7	15.0	-1.33	14.7	15.2	-0.49
Zaza Pachulia	34	33	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.06	9	-4	13	13.2	14.2	-1.00	14.6	14.9	-0.23
Acie Law	7	8	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.04	4	1	3	15.1	13.8	1.37	17.4	14.6	2.81
Mario West	0	1	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	5	-5	0.0	13.9	-13.87	12.0	14.8	-2.82
Maurice Evans	52	51	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.07	-3	8	-11	13.4	14.4	-1.00	14.2	15.4	-1.21
Solomon Jones	26	27	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.05	-7	12	-19	14.6	13.6	0.95	12.6	15.6	-2.96

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelden Williams	23	21	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.10	9	-14	23	12.5	15.5	-2.95	12.0	14.4	-2.42
Bobby Jackson	46	46	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.36	11	-16	27	12.7	16.6	-3.88	15.2	12.8	2.39
Donte Greene	16	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-1	-3	13.9	15.0	-1.09	13.7	13.9	-0.16
Mikki Moore	11	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	0	-5	15.0	14.8	0.24	15.8	13.6	2.18
Spencer Hawes	89	90	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.18	1	-6	7	14.9	13.5	1.40	13.9	14.0	-0.14
Beno Udrih	89	91	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.35	-2	-3	1	15.1	12.0	3.13	14.1	12.2	1.85
Kevin Martin	91	93	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.35	-6	1	-7	14.4	18.3	-3.89	13.4	19.6	-6.25
Jason Thompson	68	71	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.24	-14	9	-23	15.6	13.1	2.49	14.1	13.4	0.62
Francisco Garcia	67	67	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.25	-15	10	-25	16.2	11.9	4.25	13.6	14.5	-0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.23,0.28,0.44,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.34,0.47,0.48,0.37,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.37,0.23,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 83, CHI 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.19,0.27,0.25,0.37,0.43,0.42,0	92.2%
WAS 80, SEA 74	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.09,0.04,0	91.8%
LAL 91, PHX 82	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.5,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.19,0.23,0.24,0.01,0	90.9%